Serie A · resolved market
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x690f55b6ae12f6cb183ed646466f991d8fdb9cd13f183d04eddf2835a766d2a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 9,759$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.9 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,071$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Yes | 8c | 1,900$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…d175backed Yes | 8c | 1,695$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 8c | 1,552$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.13 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Yes | 8c | 1,225$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 8c | 753.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 8c | 500.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 249 | 53.8%134 W · 115 L | +20.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…1d0cbacked Yes | 8c | 384$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 337$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 10c | 335.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 8c | 325$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 8c | 299.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 8c | 279.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…49e2backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcab3…ad72backed Yes | 9c | 191.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…47a1backed Yes | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +158.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Yes | 9c | 177.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 9c | 146.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…716bbacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 10c | 124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Yes | 9c | 114.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c51…11e9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will AS Roma vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?No won
- Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.