TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chile Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Cristian Garin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Garinof Cerundolo, Garin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$196,533
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$207,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,533 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Cerundolo29c23,291$6,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,791.752,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Cerundolo76c21,549$16,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,39735247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Cerundolo53c14,982$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00064755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Garin26c13,591$3,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,002.871,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Garin19c6,785$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,522.422634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Garin52c5,546$2,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.736,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Garin40c4,365$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,628.867,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Cerundolo60c3,776$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.115451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Garin51c3,721$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.5555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Garin36c3,374$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.742,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Garin33c3,328$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.1881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Cerundolo52c3,030$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.8469249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Garin17c2,957$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4585250%26 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Cerundolo59c2,823$1,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.5943051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Garin46c2,774$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.958,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Cerundolo50c2,763$1,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.2799044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Garin52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20074743.6%326 W · 421 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Cerundolo50c2,422$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.581,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Garin54c2,399$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.346,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Cerundolo45c2,247$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Garin41c2,082$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.081,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Garin74c2,035$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.4665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Garin39c1,983$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.882,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Garin46c1,685$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.4137444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Cerundolo50c1,608$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.8697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Garin40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90019241.1%79 W · 113 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Garin41c1,288$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.911,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Garin41c1,221$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.46344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Cerundolo60c1,200$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.5220542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Cerundolo66c1,200$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.2844038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Garin40c1,093$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6568348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Garin38c1,053$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.631,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Garin39c922.93$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.681,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Garin40c888.6$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.2838133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Garin57c856.44$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.4420748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Garin35c851.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6714250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cerundolo59c850.16$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.412,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Garin13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.231,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Garin52c719.23$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2398240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Cerundolo56c715.84$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40058359.2%345 W · 238 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Garin58c644.3$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.592,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Garin46c627$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.262,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Garin34c607.81$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.351,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0813…8e62backed Garin75c597.56$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.472445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Garin44c590.27$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.553647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Garin56c584.45$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.841,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Cerundolo52c554.69$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.934,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Garin49c547$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.3873745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Garin35c543.76$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3725433.5%85 W · 169 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Garin56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7163247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e81…a0e9backed Cerundolo42c509.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.863542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Cerundolo61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30512861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Garin40c485.97$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.5887251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Garin33c483.49$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.4910247.1%48 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Cerundolo41c459.38$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.446,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Cerundolo60c439.78$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.131,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Garin15c426.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.6772542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Garin57c412.86$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5318156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Cerundolo75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133b…20a3backed Garin30c399.99$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.992263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+45.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Cerundolo79c379.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Garin36c359.31$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9668026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Garin38c317.88$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6246030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Cerundolo40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12039438.1%150 W · 244 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba1…2ffcbacked Cerundolo51c299.51$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.591442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Garin28c285.71$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7160641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Garin40c270.55$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.3378152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Garin76c258$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.785242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93cb…3485backed Garin40c248.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3630639.9%122 W · 184 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cerundolo61c245.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Garin43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Garin59c232.33$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.674,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Garin35c225.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7169350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Cerundolo17c223.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3844229.6%131 W · 311 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Garin41c208.83$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2130542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb315…d6c9backed Garin35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13015324.8%38 W · 115 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b7…a035backed Cerundolo69c195.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13523554.5%128 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebfe…0664backed Cerundolo52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Cerundolo77c191.58$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.5210267.6%69 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7b…20bbbacked Garin42c173.59$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.275345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Cerundolo61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006651.5%34 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Cerundolo67c150.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Garin28c147$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2126244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Garin60c145.59$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5964537.2%240 W · 405 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Cerundolo76c144.74$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106258.1%36 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Cerundolo61c137.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.648246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed Garin52c136.3$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.115750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Garin63c131$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.94,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Garin58c128.76$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.082,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Garin27c120.01$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8123847.1%112 W · 126 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cerundolo58c114.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Garin45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1168350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Cerundolo46c110.42$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9229063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Cerundolo66c106$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.617056.5%96 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cerundolo54c105.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5611,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Cerundolo50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5027935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Cerundolo61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6177967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Cerundolo67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Cerundolo61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6126247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Garin34c98.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6788446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.