South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8920182cecfb34ea2d774a1aa2a5b52201378321e5d6e07d0b177e71b6c77576
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 46c | 6,258$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.22 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1510…fe91backed Yes | 64c | 4,375$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 37c | 3,786$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.37 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 2,076$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.15 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 36c | 1,566$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Yes | 66c | 1,523$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…6244backed Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 35c | 1,210$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.48 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 1,123$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 37c | 1,116$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.95 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 1,065$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.9 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 37c | 884.99$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.12 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 60c | 840.05$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 79c | 710.74$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…198fbacked Yes | 63c | 549.21$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 63c | 539.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 31c | 529.26$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 507.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 64c | 435.28$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.7 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 37c | 431.77$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.18 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 30c | 379.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 36c | 347$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 346.44$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 64c | 342.03$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 36c | 340.98$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 36c | 324$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Yes | 63c | 320$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…4cfdbacked Yes | 77c | 285.19$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 53c | 258.65$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 52c | 254.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.87 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 201.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfe…bfb7backed No | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 36c | 187$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Yes | 64c | 164.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 63c | 162.95$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 65c | 153.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa4…3409backed Yes | 63c | 146.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575d…a11abacked Yes | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…e4bfbacked Yes | 59c | 132.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 52c | 123.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d0…5b25backed Yes | 63c | 122.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 40c | 121.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 24c | 120.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Yes | 52c | 118.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b8…19e4backed Yes | 51c | 118.17$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 25c | 107.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes | 62c | 105.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 104.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 38c | 101.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce1…a25dbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b2…c780backed Yes | 59c | 98.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Yes | 65c | 84.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa90…7f0bbacked Yes | 59c | 83.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38bb…2fcfbacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 58c | 71.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Yes | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked No | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed No | 26c | 62.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed No | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 41c | 58.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…4debbacked Yes | 76c | 55.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6861…b317backed Yes | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…d0efbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed No | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 35c | 44.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…476ebacked Yes | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked No | 39c | 38.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d62…49c5backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 36c | 36.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 65c | 36.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Yes | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe60…5eb9backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a84…a1e6backed Yes | 63c | 31.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 52c | 31.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed Yes | 64c | 30.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will CS Cristal vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will CS Cristal win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.