TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,937,649
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,861,683

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,937,649 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 406 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes69c4,183,442$2,900,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283,051.48850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No31c880,000$268,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268,4001560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No32c649,338$206,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,678.259159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No31c613,951$187,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,254.954052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No31c292,614$89,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,281.92650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed No30c250,000$75,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes68c248,489$169,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,069.6514337.1%53 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No31c234,623$72,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,733.191040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No32c203,020$65,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,007.591136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No31c175,000$54,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,0003423.5%8 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-41.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No21c148,856$30,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,742.911,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No30c117,050$35,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,65016644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No31c100,000$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,999.991650%8 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No24c89,746$21,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,259.1271140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No31c84,559$26,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,383.6787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No32c74,000$23,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,6801338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No31c72,808$22,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,742.2713348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No32c66,100$21,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,1523351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No30c57,571$17,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,007.092317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No31c56,214$17,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,687.264940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes69c50,000$34,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,500475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes67c46,516$31,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,354.0524044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No31c44,191$13,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,697.0262648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No32c41,547$13,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,158.4115455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No31c30,932$9,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,672.3952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No33c30,303$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No30c30,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,000650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No31c26,735$8,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,391.85040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No4c23,743$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.3614452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No31c22,000$6,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,819.992040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No24c20,552$4,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.6348649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No34c20,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8005947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed No31c20,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,20020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No31c20,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,299.982540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No33c16,295$5,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,346.1223151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No31c15,587$4,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,831.97560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes69c15,108$10,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,711.59747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+72.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No32c13,631$4,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,361.771656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c12,180$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,753.471,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No30c12,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6001060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No31c12,000$3,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7201952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No33c10,500$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,464.984447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Yes67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-33.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No34c9,338$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1754030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No29c9,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6003148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No34c8,415$2,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,861.06540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No31c8,115$2,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.64955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No33c8,000$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64012839.8%51 W · 77 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No31c7,777$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,410.874468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No31c7,500$2,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3253420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No32c6,837$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,187.714856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed No32c6,250$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No31c6,239$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.091478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.9wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+37.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No32c6,200$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9845040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed No32c5,458$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.653259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed No31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0617…154dbacked No32c4,800$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No33c4,600$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5185156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c4,535$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.991216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-78.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No31c4,500$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe348…a303backed Yes69c4,071$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.971163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+43.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3206553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked No31c4,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2401520%3 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ae6…3cbebacked No33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No17c3,886$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.5637638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No32c3,775$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.1428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No32c3,185$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No32c3,160$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.42245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed No32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick46cpaid+51.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9904057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No32c3,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No32c3,000$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94512957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77e7…88adbacked Yes67c3,000$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No32c2,931$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No32c2,920$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.43450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No32c2,813$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.161330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8c…7a41backed No32c2,750$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed No31c2,376$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No34c2,370$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked No33c2,100$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed No3c2,010$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.091323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No32c2,000$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6353333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-35.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4863…805bbacked Yes66c1,879$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.56966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Yes66c1,800$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.982227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No31c1,740$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.4966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8560…f97bbacked No4c1,672$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.19553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes67c1,605$1,074 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.6619055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.595135.3%18 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No32c1,470$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed No32c1,470$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.32944.8%13 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No34c1,456$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No31c1,395$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.278942.7%38 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked No29c1,358$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No32c1,283$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.