Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x072a998e34b48cc24d97a62d98b16f5dd09ba016bb0263a7791459d43c390d18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 18c | 4,008$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.41 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 8c | 3,908$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.85 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e7…88adbacked Yes | 19c | 3,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…a10bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +300%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 19c | 2,650$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 19c | 2,360$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 19c | 747.37$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 18c | 555.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes | 19c | 473.68$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…70b1backed Yes | 11c | 291.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 18c | 231.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 231 | 51.5%119 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 19c | 173.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…321bbacked Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 19c | 137.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 19c | 101$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Yes | 19c | 97.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3682…5065backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 17c | 63.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 80c | 50.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.