South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6b76a8c8494d21528fd85ec8ffdb0433a23a467528fe7c2559fb51ff30efa6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 3c | 1,236$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 1,167$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.88 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 34c | 1,045$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 929.26$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 820.45$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.73 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 537.28$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.85 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Yes | 52c | 521.43$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 66c | 412$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 29c | 234.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 19c | 203.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 67c | 199.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 31c | 163.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 156$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 12c | 143.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 29c | 141.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8a…398ebacked Yes | 29c | 127.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 54c | 126.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 50c | 119.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 45c | 106.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 48c | 95.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Yes | 34c | 85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 67c | 68.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed No | 67c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 29c | 61.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…d7cbbacked Yes | 20c | 52.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…1734backed Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1723…9d18backed No | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 51.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 62c | 49.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed No | 67c | 48.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…aeaabacked Yes | 33c | 43.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 59c | 41.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 39.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…c6cdbacked No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…897bbacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 33c | 33.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…53f7backed No | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…f312backed No | 51c | 25.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Yes | 43c | 24.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…da98backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed No | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…d9f0backed Yes | 64c | 19.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…682bbacked Yes | 64c | 19.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-01-27?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-01-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.