South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-01-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d7106aadce0377d1a17b3f757a13734ee91eb816f269c3387f8e43ba695a68c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 63c | 3,076$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.33 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 8c | 2,867$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.54 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…6b85backed No | 58c | 1,864$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,862$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 69c | 1,229$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.18 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 40c | 946.96$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.18 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 11c | 931$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.59 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 855$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 13c | 805.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.78 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 20c | 540$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 38c | 537.88$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.43 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 517.97$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.59 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 516.7$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 78c | 515$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 29c | 419.91$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.91 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 15c | 369.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…c7f3backed No | 12c | 335.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed No | 5c | 330$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 66c | 249.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 41c | 241.46$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 12c | 200$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.05 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 195.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 42c | 170.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Yes | 11c | 168.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 8cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 14c | 142.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 14c | 134.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.13 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 120.53$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.62 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 119$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked No | 49c | 118.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 112.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…5ca1backed No | 19c | 76.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…4795backed Yes | 19c | 73.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Yes | 77c | 62.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 58c | 49.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 62c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 60c | 40.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Yes | 39c | 31.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed No | 56c | 28.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed No | 59c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Yes | 41c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 75c | 27.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2087…62a4backed Yes | 42c | 26.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 42cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked No | 60c | 24.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0d…7839backed Yes | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Yes | 79c | 23.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Yes | 73c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-01-27?this page
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-01-27?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.