South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-01-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe323c294354d951eb84b968bc6d1ad695f0cd51df8a1ad94cec247e5f680959f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 5c | 840.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 10c | 659.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 601.8$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 483.37$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 29c | 422.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 398$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 4c | 327.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 18c | 322.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Yes | 19c | 268.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 20c | 240.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 235.66$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 19c | 215.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 73c | 208.22$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 159.96$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc6…a5f1backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…b4f2backed No | 75c | 146.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Yes | 26c | 139$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…871cbacked Yes | 27c | 110$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Yes | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed No | 41c | 106.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 17c | 90.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1758…5d73backed Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 26c | 75.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 44c | 54.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked No | 40c | 53.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…3b59backed Yes | 63c | 44.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 57cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…87a4backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 27.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 66cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…d7cbbacked Yes | 44c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed No | 46c | 25.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…2b20backed No | 74c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…67b1backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-01-27?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-01-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.