TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,858,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,882,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,858,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 566 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes57c5,183,478$2,962,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220,749.291145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked No40c1,000,000$400,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400,000742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked No44c400,000$175,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175,0001764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+43.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No42c350,000$147,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147,00010443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked No41c300,000$123,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123,0002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No40c289,667$115,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,866.82035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No44c201,710$89,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,324.3258248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No40c200,000$80,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,7507346.6%34 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No45c92,045$41,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,019.58259.8%49 W · 33 L+9.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No41c88,692$36,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,704.2446048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked No40c80,000$32,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,0003842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No43c75,000$32,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,50028543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c64,235$27,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,896.371,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No40c42,000$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No42c34,887$14,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,483.1415442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No47c33,429$15,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,711.4813843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f4…2dffbacked No40c32,777$13,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,110.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb763…247dbacked No48c30,000$14,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,2501330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No40c29,802$12,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,048.2733851.5%174 W · 164 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No41c28,900$11,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,8494346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Yes46c22,799$10,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,313.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Yes58c20,625$11,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,686.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No41c20,000$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,0003545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No42c18,522$7,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,779.194351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No45c17,631$7,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,934.143751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No42c17,300$7,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2661844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes58c17,241$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,241.389142.9%39 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No51c17,236$8,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,794.7134342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c16,799$7,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,094.161,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c15,515$6,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,385.1363346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No41c15,100$6,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1915350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No40c12,000$4,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8405350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No41c11,111$4,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,555.5112147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No41c10,034$4,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,114.522433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed No42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No41c10,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0506139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No41c10,000$4,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,050955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No43c9,954$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,235.8259741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed No41c9,756$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No54c9,556$5,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,160.36451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No45c9,222$4,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked No45c8,961$4,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,003.222729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No55c8,300$4,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5658751.7%45 W · 42 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No54c6,600$3,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5646643.9%29 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No41c6,130$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.35444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed No40c6,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4002934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No42c6,000$2,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,49022147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.982445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No41c5,500$2,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2352759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No40c5,270$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,113.9935860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No40c5,207$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.8715349.7%76 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80011218.8%21 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed No40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked No54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No44c5,000$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,209.9916349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No45c5,000$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.934238.1%16 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004951%25 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed No41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008543.5%37 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No41c4,602$1,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8875433.3%18 W · 36 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No46c4,444$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.029332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No40c4,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6009948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae17…b10dbacked Yes57c3,856$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes45c3,667$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.671030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked No56c3,600$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No42c3,496$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.115341.5%22 W · 31 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No41c3,125$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.423050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,68013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26010748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked No45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3502222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20012249.2%60 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.9718160.8%110 W · 71 L+18.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No40c2,504$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00339842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed No41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0251040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked No40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+118.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed No48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9850%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69f8…2667backed Yes57c2,424$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.49540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes56c2,330$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.257946.8%37 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No40c2,172$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.9630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec5…65ecbacked No41c2,139$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No41c2,092$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.4736851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No43c2,071$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.5614235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked No57c2,002$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8804358.1%25 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004944.9%22 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208938.2%34 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No44c1,976$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.510733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed No51c1,942$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes56c1,896$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.3638748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No46c1,870$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.21741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2674…faafbacked Yes55c1,854$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0799…9452backed No45c1,844$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9277…2aedbacked No41c1,756$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No42c1,730$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.62853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56fe…74dbbacked No41c1,671$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6851030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadec…88fdbacked No42c1,635$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No48c1,600$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7682339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked No41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.