Champions League · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcb3354fedc52a0f5ee142b34d4e4dc5e216c61cb3143f3d3ab4f98e86c980c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $544,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $515,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $544,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 17c | 350,000$59,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,500 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yes | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 11,400$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.99 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Yes | 17c | 9,610$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.7 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Yes | 19c | 5,372$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.59 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 9c | 5,359$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.77 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 3,938$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.32 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 17c | 3,270$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.99 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed Yes | 19c | 3,065$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.7 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 21c | 3,050$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.49 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…626bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,850$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 2,651$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 18c | 2,495$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.78 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 17c | 2,221$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.52 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…f4b0backed Yes | 13c | 2,100$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…f52fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d8…969ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,823$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 18c | 1,533$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.86 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 22c | 1,501$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 19c | 1,153$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.25 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b75…698bbacked No | 78c | 1,129$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.74 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 15c | 1,059$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 16.7%9 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 19c | 999.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 78c | 995.43$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.99 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Yes | 16c | 937.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Yes | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 18c | 599.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.49 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…6fc0backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…9569backed Yes | 4c | 514.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2c…e158backed Yes | 3c | 486.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +400%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 18c | 472.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…555bbacked Yes | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed Yes | 20c | 400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x73c7…b175backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Yes | 19c | 391.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…a5cbbacked No | 80c | 389$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Yes | 15c | 369.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 17c | 350$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 16c | 325.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96a…3cc0backed Yes | 22c | 318.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 19c | 318.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf8…3397backed Yes | 19c | 315.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d0…6934backed Yes | 17c | 313$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Yes | 18c | 311.56$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…be12backed Yes | 20c | 306.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 17c | 306.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked Yes | 4c | 299.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 5c | 294.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…9287backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes | 9c | 271.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…7c71backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 17c | 257.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 19c | 250.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes | 21c | 242.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…3b55backed Yes | 19c | 218.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 217.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 10c | 211.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed Yes | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Yes | 19c | 203$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fba…499dbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…b159backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4735…d4ebbacked Yes | 21c | 192.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ee…bbbabacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 77c | 163.22$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…722cbacked Yes | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Yes | 21c | 144.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac2…a0a9backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Yes | 20c | 135$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 11c | 131.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-01-21?this page
- Will Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.