TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$503,289

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes24c400,000$96,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96,00010443.3%45 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No78c32,442$25,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,194.2358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x53bf…6162backed Yes4c12,744$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes24c10,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4003447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+33.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes26c8,177$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes22c6,790$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.21,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c4,589$3,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.1263346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes22c3,972$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.7459741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…55eabacked Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Yes24c2,665$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.610845.4%49 W · 59 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes24c2,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60020644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes24c2,402$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.3719028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes24c2,063$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.1216144.1%71 W · 90 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74013548.9%66 W · 69 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes27c2,000$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5321938.4%84 W · 135 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4807631.6%24 W · 52 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36024327.2%66 W · 177 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Yes7c1,287$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c810.24$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4637544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No75c722$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.51540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No75c715$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.752360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3766…a0e4backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504450%22 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes25c559.57$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.899332.3%30 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-1.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9932…f309backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No73c497.26$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.262445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed No70c488.38$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.38771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked No76c474.68$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.791338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes25c423.59$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.913931.7%44 W · 95 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Yes24c400$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c8…2564backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+97.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081625%4 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-29.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4301…6fc0backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes26c380$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.88032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x236a…1a3ebacked Yes25c363.56$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.891145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+19.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004060%24 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes25c320$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.820639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x56fe…74dbbacked Yes25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No76c262.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1212450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc1…3e21backed Yes5c259.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.98520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+79%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c42…6e3bbacked Yes26c250.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.11742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+86.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No75c246$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.512644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes11c243.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.846943.5%30 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes24c234.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.252544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes10c194.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…63fcbacked No74c172.43$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.836159%36 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409644.8%43 W · 53 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+40.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes22c151.49$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.029123.1%21 W · 70 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352532%8 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Yes25c131.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.892250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes27c125.04$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7610044%44 W · 56 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5212…29c7backed No65c107.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.69785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xecd6…5284backed Yes24c102$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256753.7%36 W · 31 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410658.5%62 W · 44 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6dd…0accbacked Yes37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No67c99.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3312546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes25c98.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.522626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Yes25c96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247934.2%27 W · 52 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes27c83.42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.58229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021443.9%94 W · 120 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c4…12d0backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes26c80$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.85834.5%20 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Yes24c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce11…4a49backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Yes24c77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4810648.1%51 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x796a…b0a4backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce1…5555backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-39.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No71c75.65$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2921745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e11…45ecbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Yes26c72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.725534.5%19 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Yes35c71.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.143033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed No70c70.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.472653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No72c60.71$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174252.4%22 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc57a…fe9fbacked Yes26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+83.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Yes19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…5685backed Yes25c58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090b…2f01backed Yes26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed Yes25c54.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.633023.3%7 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed No76c54.27$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.935455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2d…42ffbacked Yes25c53.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.430%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b3…c933backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+52.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes25c50.01$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.511153.2%59 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Yes37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d65…7d4abacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52718.5%5 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+42.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.