Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paul
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8e93006a6dd769999bec66f2824cd0e019dc4384b68704e3e537a0cd1d0e6d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joao Fonsecaof Joao Fonseca, Tommy Paul
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,463 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Joao Fonseca | 59c | 39,641$23,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,298.91 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tommy Paul | 37c | 33,925$12,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,532.13 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tommy Paul | 30c | 25,103$7,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,506.99 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joao Fonseca | 53c | 22,822$12,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,735.94 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tommy Paul | 39c | 19,753$7,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,715.05 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Tommy Paul | 36c | 16,396$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.87 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tommy Paul | 34c | 12,814$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Tommy Paul | 52c | 12,730$6,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,573.78 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tommy Paul | 38c | 11,878$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,559.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Joao Fonseca | 66c | 10,588$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,588.13 | 274 | 60.2%165 W · 109 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Joao Fonseca | 53c | 9,475$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,474.69 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Joao Fonseca | 66c | 9,291$6,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.22 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Tommy Paul | 34c | 6,872$2,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.46 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e9…390ebacked Joao Fonseca | 66c | 6,000$3,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Joao Fonseca | 33c | 5,577$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.64 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Joao Fonseca | 31c | 5,231$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,609.12 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Joao Fonseca | 32c | 4,564$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.83 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tommy Paul | 35c | 4,512$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.91 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…ba19backed Joao Fonseca | 69c | 4,491$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Joao Fonseca | 39c | 4,465$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,736.78 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Tommy Paul | 52c | 3,852$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Tommy Paul | 66c | 3,747$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Joao Fonseca | 36c | 3,719$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.18 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Joao Fonseca | 69c | 3,572$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.23 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Tommy Paul | 54c | 3,449$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Joao Fonseca | 30c | 3,350$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.5 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Joao Fonseca | 65c | 2,970$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.54 | 453 | 43.9%199 W · 254 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tommy Paul | 47c | 2,944$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.32 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Tommy Paul | 21c | 2,928$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Joao Fonseca | 70c | 2,778$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Joao Fonseca | 34c | 2,734$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794.33 | 305 | 42.6%130 W · 175 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Tommy Paul | 44c | 2,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.99 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Tommy Paul | 42c | 2,288$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb2…8ad7backed Joao Fonseca | 59c | 2,103$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 2,018$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.34 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Tommy Paul | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.86 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Joao Fonseca | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Tommy Paul | 39c | 1,836$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.5 | 279 | 40.1%112 W · 167 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Tommy Paul | 55c | 1,823$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tommy Paul | 35c | 1,728$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.66 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Tommy Paul | 64c | 1,576$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.32 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…edcfbacked Tommy Paul | 54c | 1,543$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.23 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Tommy Paul | 52c | 1,534$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Tommy Paul | 67c | 1,515$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.18 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Joao Fonseca | 33c | 1,496$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.47 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…23c8backed Joao Fonseca | 41c | 1,419$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…d26dbacked Tommy Paul | 67c | 1,409$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Tommy Paul | 36c | 1,399$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.24 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Tommy Paul | 63c | 1,132$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.61 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Joao Fonseca | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.04 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb064…0b34backed Tommy Paul | 42c | 1,089$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Tommy Paul | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Joao Fonseca | 37c | 1,057$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.91 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Tommy Paul | 67c | 1,050$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.89 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Tommy Paul | 69c | 1,038$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Joao Fonseca | 41c | 1,000$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.4 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Tommy Paul | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…1ee8backed Joao Fonseca | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Joao Fonseca | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Tommy Paul | 38c | 991$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.13 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tommy Paul | 38c | 899.11$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.23 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Tommy Paul | 68c | 882.35$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 307 | 50.5%155 W · 152 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Joao Fonseca | 65c | 872.31$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.31 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Joao Fonseca | 30c | 833$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Joao Fonseca | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Tommy Paul | 30c | 799.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tommy Paul | 35c | 752.72$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.25 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Tommy Paul | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Joao Fonseca | 35c | 742.93$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.8 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Joao Fonseca | 34c | 732.2$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.57 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tommy Paul | 52c | 700$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Tommy Paul | 38c | 690.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.45 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Tommy Paul | 60c | 667.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Joao Fonseca | 53c | 665.29$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.46 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Joao Fonseca | 56c | 630.27$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.71 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…4d17backed Joao Fonseca | 32c | 614.47$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.84 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Joao Fonseca | 42c | 600.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.24 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Joao Fonseca | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec0…40dabacked Tommy Paul | 45c | 592.16$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.99 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…3cdcbacked Tommy Paul | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tommy Paul | 42c | 561.08$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.99 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Joao Fonseca | 34c | 560.6$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Tommy Paul | 37c | 542.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Tommy Paul | 41c | 517.04$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.15 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed Tommy Paul | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…909dbacked Joao Fonseca | 33c | 513.82$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Joao Fonseca | 36c | 502.23$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Joao Fonseca | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.99 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joao Fonseca | 66c | 496.93$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tommy Paul | 66c | 449.3$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.54 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…6af2backed Joao Fonseca | 34c | 448$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 128 | 35.2%45 W · 83 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Joao Fonseca | 44c | 446.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.14 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Joao Fonseca | 58c | 444$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…f7ddbacked Tommy Paul | 34c | 441.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Joao Fonseca | 64c | 436.95$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Joao Fonseca | 29c | 434.15$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.25 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Joao Fonseca | 32c | 428.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.58 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Joao Fonseca | 64c | 416.98$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Joao Fonseca | 34c | 413.6$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.98 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Tommy Paul | 28c | 411.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.3 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Tommy Paulthis page
- Fonseca vs. Paul: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Fonseca vs. Paul: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Fonseca vs. Paul: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Joao Fonseca vs. Tommy Paul: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Fonseca vs PaulFonseca won
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)Fonseca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.