Tennis · resolved market

Mexican Open: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Flavio Cobolli

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94bb50462fa553342350557ea7aa4963cf21bdef3364903875c065d4cfddd676

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cobolliof Pacheco, Cobolli
Resolved: Feb 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $51,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,611 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Pacheco	25c	8,988$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,211.99	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Cobolli	76c	8,550$6,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,041.52	274	60.2%165 W · 109 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pacheco	18c	7,196$1,304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,303.92	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cobolli	77c	4,819$3,707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,112.45	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Pacheco	22c	2,071$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.26	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ceb…68e3backed Cobolli	80c	1,505$1,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301	80	56.3%45 W · 35 L	-8.2wins	-0.10per pick	67cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Pacheco	21c	1,155$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.22	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Pacheco	18c	1,000$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.53	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Pacheco	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	680	26.2%178 W · 502 L	-24.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Pacheco	12c	860.08$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.21	168	30.4%51 W · 117 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Pacheco	20c	609.97$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.93	1,973	46.3%914 W · 1,059 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe846…35a9backed Pacheco	20c	533.24$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.65	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pacheco	20c	515.6$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.12	112	42.9%48 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pacheco	21c	460.54$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.03	2,537	53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L	+61.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Cobolli	74c	428.38$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.38	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Pacheco	37c	405.41$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	503	64.6%325 W · 178 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Cobolli	61c	400$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	692	49.6%343 W · 349 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Pacheco	15c	381.8$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.01	813	49.1%399 W · 414 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Pacheco	28c	357.14$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,107	43.5%481 W · 626 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Pacheco	35c	327.5$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.09	2,145	54.2%1,162 W · 983 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Pacheco	29c	306$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.74	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacheco	12c	287.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	2,489	45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L	-27.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc803…44b2backed Cobolli	79c	270.43$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.52	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Cobolli	80c	260$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	1,240	41.2%511 W · 729 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Cobolli	79c	251.86$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.86	591	65.3%386 W · 205 L	-16.9wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Pacheco	22c	251.17$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.29	6,599	50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L	+259.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Cobolli	67c	222.39$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.39	460	30.4%140 W · 320 L	-18.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Cobolli	72c	170.59$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.63	4,288	40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L	-139.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cobolli	72c	170$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.6	656	47.6%312 W · 344 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cobolli	79c	155.78$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.71	1,923	55.4%1,066 W · 857 L	-44.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pacheco	19c	148$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.12	7,724	47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L	+41.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf337…609abacked Pacheco	18c	135.22$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.78	90	16.7%15 W · 75 L	-9.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Cobolli	79c	126.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.58	121	62%75 W · 46 L	-14.3wins	-0.12per pick	74cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Pacheco	22c	110$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.53	990	44.8%444 W · 546 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Pacheco	20c	101.94$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.76	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Cobolli	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	178	63.5%113 W · 65 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Cobolli	79c	100$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	587	53.7%315 W · 272 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Pacheco	21c	93$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Pacheco	22c	90.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	540	50.4%272 W · 268 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Pacheco	21c	74.68$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	6,786	48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L	+56.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Cobolli	77c	72.84$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.75	4,765	47%2,238 W · 2,527 L	-82.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Cobolli	74c	67.57$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	170	56.5%96 W · 74 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb539…7c32backed Cobolli	76c	65.54$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.73	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.13per pick	44cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Cobolli	79c	63.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	129	74.4%96 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	72cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Pacheco	37c	60$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	1,861	44.4%827 W · 1,034 L	-15.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Pacheco	21c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	968	44.4%430 W · 538 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Cobolli	79c	55.7$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.7	352	68.2%240 W · 112 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Pacheco	21c	53.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	110	50%55 W · 55 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Cobolli	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	287	64.1%184 W · 103 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Cobolli	80c	42$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	136	47.1%64 W · 72 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Cobolli	71c	40$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.6	185	41.1%76 W · 109 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26ec…da98backed Cobolli	79c	37.97$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.97	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	66cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Cobolli	80c	35.5$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.25	112	45.5%51 W · 61 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Cobolli	78c	34.15$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.51	244	54.9%134 W · 110 L	+12.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7a8…2d58backed Cobolli	70c	29.99$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	+5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba5…e557backed Cobolli	79c	25.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.32	83	74.7%62 W · 21 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	70cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Cobolli	78c	24.54$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.34	125	48%60 W · 65 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3682…5065backed Cobolli	79c	22.91$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.81	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cobolli	78c	21.9$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.78	1,809	43.8%793 W · 1,016 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Cobolli	74c	20.7$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.41	302	54.3%164 W · 138 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x734e…88e5backed Cobolli	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	101	62.4%63 W · 38 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Cobolli	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.2	593	66.8%396 W · 197 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf840…02e7backed Cobolli	80c	18.75$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.75	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	71cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bab…2022backed Cobolli	80c	17.59$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.59	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	68cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Cobolli	80c	17.58$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.59	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	67cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…3cccbacked Cobolli	79c	16$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.36	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Cobolli	79c	15$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.15	737	45.2%333 W · 404 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Cobolli	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	2,058	59.5%1,225 W · 833 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Cobolli	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.16per pick	60cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57b9…4385backed Cobolli	80c	12.5$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2.5	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Mexican Open: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Flavio Cobollithis page
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Pacheco (+1.5)Cobolli won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Mexican Open: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Flavio Cobolli

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event