TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ba5…e557

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
105
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST8374.7%62 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 83 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Merida Open Akron: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
ATX Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+56.1%+$16.82
Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25.8%+$7.74
Mexican Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Patrick Kypsonbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Merida Open Akron: Emiliana Arango vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$11.1
St. Brieuc: Moise Kouame vs Titouan Droguetbacked Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draperbacked Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+25%+$7.5
Antalya: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Polina Kudermetovabacked Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Alevtina Ibragimovabacked Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Antalya: Despina Papamichail vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Antalya: Arantxa Rus vs Selena Janicijevicbacked Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wubacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mexican Open: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Mexican Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Dimitrov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Maria Timofeevabacked Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Merida Open Akron: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Heather Watsonbacked Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Merida Open Akron: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Mariabacked Linette · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Merida Open Akron: Camila Osorio vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tigre 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Guido Justobacked Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Chile Open: Elmer Moeller vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Chile Open: Emilio Nava vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 83 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+58.7%+$11.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.