Tennis · resolved market
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Maria Timofeeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x836e0b95290be60f8b1ecc251b77cf55a637068882e9b0d8db91607fa2925bfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frechof Frech, Timofeeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Timofeeva | 23c | 7,586$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.54 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Timofeeva | 40c | 6,525$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Frech | 56c | 4,381$2,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.76 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Frech | 77c | 4,035$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Frech | 64c | 2,529$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.43 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Frech | 76c | 2,414$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Frech | 79c | 1,853$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.12 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7334…f912backed Frech | 71c | 1,076$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Frech | 64c | 1,037$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.52 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Timofeeva | 25c | 1,030$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.11 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked Timofeeva | 15c | 825.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Timofeeva | 28c | 819.63$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Timofeeva | 33c | 764.77$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Timofeeva | 35c | 544.06$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Timofeeva | 32c | 486.79$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.39 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Frech | 64c | 471.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Timofeeva | 20c | 387.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Timofeeva | 17c | 365$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Timofeeva | 24c | 356.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timofeeva | 23c | 324.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Frech | 69c | 322.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Timofeeva | 12c | 255.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Frech | 78c | 244$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.29 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Frech | 63c | 225.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…a5cfbacked Timofeeva | 45c | 222.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Frech | 80c | 221$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Frech | 64c | 204.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Frech | 68c | 193.43$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Timofeeva | 37c | 176.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Frech | 77c | 171.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.07 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Timofeeva | 27c | 170.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae31…c586backed Timofeeva | 47c | 165.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Timofeeva | 37c | 145.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Timofeeva | 35c | 143.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Frech | 62c | 113.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timofeeva | 27c | 112.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Timofeeva | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Frech | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Frech | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Timofeeva | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Timofeeva | 19c | 98.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Frech | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Frech | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Frech | 64c | 65.56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Frech | 64c | 60.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Timofeeva | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Timofeeva | 34c | 51.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Frech | 63c | 50.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Timofeeva | 22c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Timofeeva | 36c | 40.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Frech | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 355 | 59.4%211 W · 144 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Timofeeva | 44c | 39.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Frech | 65c | 38.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Frech | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…8ef9backed Frech | 65c | 37.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Frech | 72c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Frech | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Frech | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Frech | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5344…630ebacked Frech | 51c | 27.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…3cccbacked Frech | 65c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Frech | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Frech | 72c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.