Tennis · resolved market
Antalya: Anhelina Kalinina vs Alevtina Ibragimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd42e279e78a569ab5a7663b57a129667bac49c09370b45ed538e062903754ecf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalininaof Kalinina, Ibragimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,167
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ibragimova | 19c | 5,412$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.8 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Ibragimova | 41c | 5,106$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.79 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kalinina | 79c | 2,995$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.47 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Kalinina | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Kalinina | 73c | 1,758$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.55 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Ibragimova | 29c | 1,199$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kalinina | 60c | 1,125$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.29 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Ibragimova | 31c | 1,110$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.36 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kalinina | 73c | 1,098$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.09 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Kalinina | 76c | 1,089$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Kalinina | 77c | 1,060$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.82 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Ibragimova | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ibragimova | 12c | 851.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kalinina | 75c | 779.78$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.11 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Ibragimova | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kalinina | 72c | 573.18$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Kalinina | 79c | 554.35$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kalinina | 71c | 471.99$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Ibragimova | 23c | 335.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Ibragimova | 25c | 311.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Ibragimova | 24c | 299.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 457 | 51%233 W · 224 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Kalinina | 76c | 288.01$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 520 | 37.7%196 W · 324 L | -30.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Ibragimova | 24c | 263.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Kalinina | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Kalinina | 77c | 258.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Ibragimova | 23c | 237.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Ibragimova | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Ibragimova | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Ibragimova | 23c | 199.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.95 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Ibragimova | 26c | 193.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Ibragimova | 25c | 191.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.79 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kalinina | 79c | 179.17$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Ibragimova | 20c | 170.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Ibragimova | 23c | 156.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Kalinina | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Kalinina | 76c | 153$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Kalinina | 76c | 133.77$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Ibragimova | 22c | 129.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Ibragimova | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ibragimova | 25c | 111.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…1d6ebacked Ibragimova | 28c | 108.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kalinina | 71c | 106.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e14…4e1fbacked Kalinina | 76c | 105.24$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Ibragimova | 29c | 102.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fa…4cfdbacked Ibragimova | 25c | 100.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Ibragimova | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kalinina | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Kalinina | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Kalinina | 74c | 91.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ibragimova | 22c | 85.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Ibragimova | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Ibragimova | 25c | 75.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Ibragimova | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ibragimova | 34c | 64.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Ibragimova | 23c | 61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ibragimova | 24c | 60.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Ibragimova | 23c | 60.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Kalinina | 71c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kalinina | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kalinina | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Kalinina | 75c | 51.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…4f55backed Kalinina | 78c | 51.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 17 | 88.2%15 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 73cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb172…ffa1backed Ibragimova | 22c | 46.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Kalinina | 74c | 45.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Kalinina | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Kalinina | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Kalinina | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kalinina | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Kalinina | 73c | 21.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kalinina | 74c | 16.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.