Tennis · resolved market
Chile Open: Emilio Nava vs Matteo Berrettini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaec3795a445b6661ffc1e1380e9ada18cc83dcaa0ef185f7a968124404304f42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navaof Nava, Berrettini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nava | 58c | 11,199$6,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.14 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Berrettini | 52c | 7,173$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729.37 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Berrettini | 28c | 6,995$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Berrettini | 33c | 6,592$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nava | 79c | 5,614$4,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Nava | 55c | 2,592$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.21 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nava | 67c | 2,150$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.9 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Berrettini | 48c | 2,102$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Nava | 25c | 2,066$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.53 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Berrettini | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nava | 60c | 1,780$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.27 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Berrettini | 37c | 1,448$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.01 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Berrettini | 26c | 1,363$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.5 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Berrettini | 54c | 1,294$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.52 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Berrettini | 59c | 1,200$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.27 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Berrettini | 40c | 1,182$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.31 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Berrettini | 40c | 1,115$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.05 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Berrettini | 39c | 1,042$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.96 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Berrettini | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nava | 59c | 1,020$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.01 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Berrettini | 19c | 984.24$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Berrettini | 55c | 958.94$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.95 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Nava | 54c | 944.44$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.44 | 207 | 48.3%100 W · 107 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Berrettini | 45c | 916.32$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.34 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Berrettini | 29c | 879$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.61 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Berrettini | 22c | 869.54$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nava | 55c | 758.41$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Berrettini | 46c | 700.51$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Berrettini | 47c | 686.3$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.56 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Berrettini | 43c | 674.42$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Berrettini | 75c | 667.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Nava | 58c | 660.74$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.65 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Nava | 26c | 654.4$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.31 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Berrettini | 30c | 641.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Nava | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.83 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nava | 65c | 595.49$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Nava | 56c | 584.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nava | 50c | 554.92$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.13 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Berrettini | 46c | 517.02$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.33 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Nava | 54c | 471.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.03 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Berrettini | 74c | 433.55$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.72 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Berrettini | 75c | 411.67$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.35 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Berrettini | 45c | 398.42$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Berrettini | 46c | 370.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.51 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Nava | 59c | 370.53$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Nava | 28c | 361.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.94 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Berrettini | 75c | 356$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Berrettini | 74c | 351.22$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.83 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Berrettini | 74c | 347.53$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.17 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Berrettini | 10c | 315.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Berrettini | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Nava | 26c | 284.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.4 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Nava | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Berrettini | 75c | 270$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Nava | 26c | 268.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.47 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ea…99bcbacked Nava | 56c | 266$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 240 | 60.8%146 W · 94 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Berrettini | 51c | 262.93$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Nava | 26c | 227$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Berrettini | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Berrettini | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Berrettini | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Berrettini | 77c | 194.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd8…39b1backed Nava | 56c | 194.64$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Nava | 26c | 193.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Nava | 54c | 186.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.06 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Nava | 54c | 185.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nava | 52c | 175.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Berrettini | 34c | 174.78$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Berrettini | 72c | 170.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.87 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Berrettini | 74c | 168.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Berrettini | 76c | 160.49$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.97 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Berrettini | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fea…9bdbbacked Berrettini | 74c | 134.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Berrettini | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Berrettini | 39c | 114.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Berrettini | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Nava | 54c | 108.65$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Berrettini | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Berrettini | 50c | 101.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Berrettini | 41c | 93.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Nava | 54c | 92.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…1dd4backed Nava | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Berrettini | 50c | 87.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Berrettini | 15c | 84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Berrettini | 49c | 82.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 271 | 47.2%128 W · 143 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc116…d072backed Berrettini | 44c | 64.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Berrettini | 49c | 62.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Nava | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Berrettini | 75c | 58.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0488backed Nava | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Berrettini | 73c | 54.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Berrettini | 74c | 47.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nava | 49c | 47.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Nava | 24c | 44.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Berrettini | 34c | 43.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Nava | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…36a3backed Nava | 37c | 40.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 547 | 44.4%243 W · 304 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Nava | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Nava | 51c | 39.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 360 | 40%144 W · 216 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…25f0backed Nava | 53c | 39.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chile Open: Emilio Nava vs Matteo Berrettinithis page
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Nava (+1.5)Nava won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.