TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Tennis Championships: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jack Draper

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rinderknechof Rinderknech, Draper
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$370,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$367,947

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd8e…f023backed Rinderknech79c25,928$20,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,484.6857249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Draper32c25,705$8,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,113.762,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Draper76c21,687$16,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,481.9327063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Draper78c19,795$15,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,485.348851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Rinderknech60c16,200$9,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,525.771,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rinderknech37c12,687$4,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,976.847,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Rinderknech31c8,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,52064755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Rinderknech22c7,392$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,744.5976146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Rinderknech58c6,711$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.026,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rinderknech62c6,272$3,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,365.682,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Draper35c5,842$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.982,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd5…d06bbacked Rinderknech23c5,792$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,459.364723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Rinderknech52c5,359$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.9657939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Draper40c4,673$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8475623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Draper75c4,236$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,160.171,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Rinderknech24c4,167$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.6798240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Draper59c3,985$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.815354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Rinderknech25c3,977$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.4793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Draper36c3,659$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3106033.3%20 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Draper27c3,247$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.351,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c2f…499cbacked Draper45c3,107$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.3110345.6%47 W · 56 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Draper38c3,040$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.2569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Draper53c3,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58031647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Draper69c2,918$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.0224643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Draper52c2,893$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5b…aff2backed Draper75c2,844$2,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,143.4211046.4%51 W · 59 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Draper55c2,730$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Draper70c2,660$1,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.6725764.6%166 W · 91 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Draper45c2,597$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1622,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c03…d894backed Draper75c2,421$1,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,816.13246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Rinderknech25c2,340$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.838133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Rinderknech22c2,300$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,793.9911045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Rinderknech65c2,297$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.8221147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Rinderknech52c2,127$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.9322634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Rinderknech75c2,060$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Draper55c2,019$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.773,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Draper78c2,000$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.6611852.5%62 W · 56 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Rinderknech24c2,000$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.61,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Draper78c1,924$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Draper71c1,800$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27847057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Draper42c1,714$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.0175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Draper42c1,696$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7041,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Rinderknech57c1,521$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.028429.8%25 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1909…a2c9backed Draper35c1,436$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005362.3%33 W · 20 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa13b…1a4dbacked Draper35c1,404$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.22634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rinderknech24c1,361$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.331,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rinderknech23c1,309$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.916,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Rinderknech24c1,250$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9501,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9379…18ffbacked Draper42c1,190$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Draper37c1,174$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.538845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Rinderknech29c1,166$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.3518932.3%61 W · 128 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rinderknech58c1,156$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.082,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Rinderknech56c1,103$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.0481349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rinderknech33c1,095$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.188,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Rinderknech39c1,060$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.576338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Draper76c1,050$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9645457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Rinderknech39c1,047$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.4890854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2073…385bbacked Draper74c999.99$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.998042.5%34 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Rinderknech34c992.32$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.891,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Draper72c930$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.524060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Rinderknech33c916.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.2313439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Rinderknech55c915.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.0742743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Rinderknech23c899.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.9963247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Draper43c820.61$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.914,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e81…a0e9backed Draper67c819.99$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.393542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Rinderknech25c742.89$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55924634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Draper77c720.54$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5557057.1%40 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Draper50c684.03$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2713456.7%76 W · 58 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Draper49c671.61$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.221957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Draper76c660$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.64146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Draper46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014639%57 W · 89 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Draper76c626.72$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.313066.9%87 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Rinderknech57c613.82$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.828451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rinderknech25c610$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.722,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Draper39c598.85$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.9338652.3%202 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Draper77c578.27$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.2733256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Rinderknech25c572.09$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.143353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rinderknech40c557.97$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.966,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Draper45c555.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25067239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Rinderknech57c549$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.075250%26 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Rinderknech49c548.98$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9820748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Rinderknech25c544$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40817462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5c53…3c12backed Rinderknech24c531$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.561040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Draper24c506$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7839751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…86e8backed Rinderknech68c505.19$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.121656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rinderknech22c500$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…81b9backed Rinderknech74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1301060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Rinderknech35c499.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.494250%21 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Rinderknech51c478.62$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.461,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Draper58c470$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.1570465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x809f…aadcbacked Draper22c450.45$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Draper46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Draper48c431.17$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.666,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Rinderknech35c424.65$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.0239431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Draper76c399$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2417867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed Draper78c384.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Draper56c383.27$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.881,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Rinderknech66c379.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.850364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe289…c31abacked Draper77c377.92$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2916259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Draper42c365.42$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532825%7 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.