Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x136aad42866389e6de75aa3e98367ef36f57404287f36f9e7791160685aac51b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,093
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 37,943$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,517.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 5,417$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 4,908$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.94 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 5c | 2,721$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.45 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 73c | 1,500$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 12c | 730.34$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.56 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 69c | 681.78$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Yes | 72c | 669.92$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.34 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 72c | 669.49$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.34 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 77c | 635.01$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.62 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 33c | 634.28$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.98 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 78c | 480.42$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.91 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…86abbacked Yes | 65c | 462.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 23c | 445.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.98 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 65c | 438.13$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.69 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 422.8$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.01 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 12c | 358.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.27 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…e6fbbacked No | 38c | 343.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…5992backed Yes | 69c | 318.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 9c | 290.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 26c | 260.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.94 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…8147backed No | 13c | 199.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…3c10backed Yes | 63c | 196.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d59…811bbacked No | 12c | 162.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 36c | 149.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 75c | 146.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc792…28bbbacked Yes | 63c | 146.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 13c | 142.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.18 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 74cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 74c | 141.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 137.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 63c | 120.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 18c | 90.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 72c | 83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.76 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b83…e6a5backed Yes | 69c | 78.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 32c | 74.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 35c | 72.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…ec7ebacked Yes | 75c | 71.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 71c | 69.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…f99fbacked Yes | 72c | 69.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 32c | 64.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 63c | 47.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 25c | 45.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 45c | 40.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…754dbacked Yes | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…2decbacked No | 29c | 38.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc68f…9e0cbacked Yes | 65c | 38.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c52…0d1abacked Yes | 70c | 37.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 67c | 34.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 78c | 31.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 66c | 29.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…0b79backed Yes | 69c | 28.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Yes | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c5…dd3bbacked Yes | 69c | 23.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…44a5backed Yes | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…daf8backed Yes | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6753…b37dbacked Yes | 79c | 14.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Vejle BK end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Vejle BK win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.