TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mexican Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Patrick Kypson

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nakashimaof Nakashima, Kypson
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,608
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,608 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Kypson4c20,666$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.981,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kypson19c10,046$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.252,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Nakashima79c9,074$7,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.4513363.9%85 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Kypson0c4,694$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kypson4c3,064$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.2265647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nakashima66c2,907$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.071,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Kypson36c2,528$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.9312442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kypson33c2,197$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Nakashima65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9820847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Kypson34c1,634$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5621,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Kypson26c1,488$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39242743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Nakashima66c1,454$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.5940748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kypson28c1,249$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.5238931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Kypson33c1,220$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8793055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nakashima65c1,164$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.3987251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kypson12c1,124$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.477,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kypson13c1,103$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.073,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…e7f0backed Nakashima67c1,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.334247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Nakashima67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33025244.4%112 W · 140 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Kypson32c979.87$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4438133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Kypson36c930.21$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.2738739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Kypson35c917.74$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.623429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Nakashima65c796.54$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.7927063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nakashima65c692.52$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.291,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Kypson18c655$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.5597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Kypson33c639.69$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.110650%53 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Kypson18c581$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.461,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Kypson35c537.14$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.691,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Nakashima67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16523454.7%128 W · 106 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nakashima79c464.47$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.416,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kypson25c463.53$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.542,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Kypson35c429.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15098240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Nakashima77c374.03$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.342,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Nakashima67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.1318957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Kypson3c348.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.73821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Nakashima66c347.54$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.5435268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Nakashima65c340.06$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.0272452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Kypson35c314.29$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Nakashima68c312.5$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Kypson34c308.59$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9236349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kypson34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Nakashima63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11111045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Nakashima67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5159165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kypson33c250$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.54,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kypson33c249.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.13,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Kypson35c243$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.051,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Kypson27c221.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Kypson15c212.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.931,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Kypson17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Nakashima65c196.98$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5924454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Nakashima67c186.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5724560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Kypson13c185$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.999044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nakashima65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8553058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf27…67ebbacked Nakashima67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.257100%7 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Kypson28c144.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Kypson35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Kypson19c115.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2290854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Nakashima67c114.93$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.939870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Nakashima67c111.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.949958.6%58 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Nakashima67c103.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1532050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Nakashima66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Nakashima68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f74…4fccbacked Kypson35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353438.2%13 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Nakashima66c92.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.811,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Nakashima67c87.54$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8943242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Kypson34c87.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa132…6655backed Nakashima66c83.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3312057.5%69 W · 51 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Nakashima65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2849142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a8…b4f9backed Nakashima67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6310665.1%69 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Kypson21c74$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8413647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nakashima80c63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Kypson32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2054050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kypson31c60.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6342141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb634…a738backed Nakashima66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad8…43e2backed Nakashima67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.518541.1%76 W · 109 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Nakashima66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1712659.5%75 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Kypson35c49.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1788446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Nakashima67c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8421072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kypson34c47.86$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.27,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Kypson28c47.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.343,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Kypson35c45.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Nakashima67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.782,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba5…e557backed Nakashima69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.488374.7%62 W · 21 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Nakashima67c43.25$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2755241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nakashima78c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.924,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31f1…39bbbacked Nakashima64c31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.16850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Nakashima66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.313650%68 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1e…21a1backed Nakashima66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.312765.4%83 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Nakashima66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.394060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd33f…159cbacked Nakashima79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.34551.1%23 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3435…1913backed Kypson34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ff…2506backed Nakashima65c29.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4921759.4%129 W · 88 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Nakashima67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.852,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc2…501bbacked Nakashima69c29.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.041478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0976…922bbacked Nakashima65c23.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b41…b346backed Nakashima66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.731471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d62…144dbacked Nakashima69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Nakashima66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Nakashima67c16.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4258067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.