Tennis · resolved market
Mexican Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Patrick Kypson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70c06ec7d140af33bf460a82e6ca48768bc6feec36e66b4d44984f8000661b1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nakashimaof Nakashima, Kypson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Kypson | 4c | 20,666$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.98 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kypson | 19c | 10,046$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.25 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Nakashima | 79c | 9,074$7,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.45 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Kypson | 0c | 4,694$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kypson | 4c | 3,064$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nakashima | 66c | 2,907$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.07 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Kypson | 36c | 2,528$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.93 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kypson | 33c | 2,197$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.47 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Nakashima | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Kypson | 34c | 1,634$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Kypson | 26c | 1,488$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Nakashima | 66c | 1,454$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.59 | 407 | 48.9%199 W · 208 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Kypson | 28c | 1,249$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.52 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Kypson | 33c | 1,220$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.87 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nakashima | 65c | 1,164$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.39 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kypson | 12c | 1,124$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kypson | 13c | 1,103$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…e7f0backed Nakashima | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.33 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Nakashima | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kypson | 32c | 979.87$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.44 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Kypson | 36c | 930.21$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.27 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Kypson | 35c | 917.74$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.6 | 234 | 29.9%70 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Nakashima | 65c | 796.54$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.79 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nakashima | 65c | 692.52$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kypson | 18c | 655$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Kypson | 33c | 639.69$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.1 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kypson | 18c | 581$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.46 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kypson | 35c | 537.14$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.69 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Nakashima | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Nakashima | 79c | 464.47$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kypson | 25c | 463.53$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.54 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kypson | 35c | 429.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Nakashima | 77c | 374.03$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Nakashima | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Kypson | 3c | 348.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Nakashima | 66c | 347.54$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 352 | 68.2%240 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Nakashima | 65c | 340.06$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Kypson | 35c | 314.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Nakashima | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Kypson | 34c | 308.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kypson | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Nakashima | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Nakashima | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kypson | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Kypson | 33c | 249.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kypson | 35c | 243$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Kypson | 27c | 221.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kypson | 15c | 212.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Kypson | 17c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Nakashima | 65c | 196.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Nakashima | 67c | 186.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Kypson | 13c | 185$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nakashima | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Nakashima | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Kypson | 28c | 144.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kypson | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Kypson | 19c | 115.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Nakashima | 67c | 114.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Nakashima | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Nakashima | 67c | 103.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Nakashima | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Nakashima | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Kypson | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Nakashima | 66c | 92.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Nakashima | 67c | 87.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Kypson | 34c | 87.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…6655backed Nakashima | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Nakashima | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…b4f9backed Nakashima | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Kypson | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nakashima | 80c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Kypson | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kypson | 31c | 60.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb634…a738backed Nakashima | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Nakashima | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Nakashima | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Kypson | 35c | 49.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Nakashima | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Kypson | 34c | 47.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kypson | 28c | 47.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Kypson | 35c | 45.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Nakashima | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Nakashima | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Nakashima | 67c | 43.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nakashima | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f1…39bbbacked Nakashima | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Nakashima | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed Nakashima | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 127 | 65.4%83 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Nakashima | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33f…159cbacked Nakashima | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Kypson | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Nakashima | 65c | 29.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 217 | 59.4%129 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Nakashima | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Nakashima | 69c | 29.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked Nakashima | 65c | 23.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…b346backed Nakashima | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…144dbacked Nakashima | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Nakashima | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Nakashima | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexican Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Patrick Kypsonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Nakashima vs KypsonNakashima won
- Set Handicap: Nakashima (-1.5) vs Kypson (+1.5)Nakashima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.