South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbea84b08671b0f605846301498a6aa438b64389ced8dc399c351d5ac80ea14c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 60c | 1,997$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.91 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 1,959$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.05 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 40c | 1,535$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.53 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…4403backed Yes | 60c | 831.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.92 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 5c | 459.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 59c | 390.14$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.96 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 41c | 350$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 61c | 244.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.73 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 38c | 88.48$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 42c | 60.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 60c | 57.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Yes | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4780…0c3fbacked Yes | 59c | 35.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 58c | 34.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…90c4backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed No | 42c | 26.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c0…2fafbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…d525backed Yes | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…76e5backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…1afebacked Yes | 58c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-19?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-02-19?No won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. AA Estudiantes end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.