TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Yes62c23,230$14,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,711.412736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No38c18,507$7,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,010.93,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c9,915$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,571.885,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes63c9,132$5,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No31c4,124$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.628,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No34c3,176$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.631,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Yes63c2,113$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.357143.7%31 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No38c1,492$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.1112741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No25c1,249$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.8914824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No38c1,081$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.311,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Yes61c980$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.25244.2%23 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No19c787.13$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1381740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes78c680.72$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.391233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes62c568.65$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.652147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No37c557.81$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0914954.4%81 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No39c458.85$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.953141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No38c411.85$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.861,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes65c384.71$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7176951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No30c370.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.241,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes62c306.27$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.383050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+45.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes61c281.87$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.962,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes79c262.98$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.026235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No22c259.77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.449535.4%175 W · 320 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No32c225.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.741,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed No39c224.6$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882070%14 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+43.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed No39c213$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.945337.7%20 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes64c209$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2423435%82 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No22c202.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.241,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8012750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes65c176.39$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d7…fa66backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Yes61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.54746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No36c149.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6531226.6%83 W · 229 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No38c133.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7521345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2583…30d5backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.581675%12 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes71c119.77$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.778560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes62c115$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.713041.5%54 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No20c94.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0271619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Yes62c91.85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.91681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.772,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e2…482dbacked Yes62c84.61$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.157100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Yes80c82.73$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.916141%25 W · 36 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c41…c63ebacked Yes79c82.28$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.374953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes62c77.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.528648.8%42 W · 44 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Yes79c75.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.952181%17 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes80c70$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1415158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15a2…5745backed No39c64.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Yes79c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.415143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes62c59.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6220142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7872…bedcbacked Yes62c57.06$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x358b…3722backed Yes63c56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602b…6c0dbacked Yes70c54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed No23c52.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No26c52.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.855054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes63c51.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.957930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc118…3c64backed Yes62c48.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad5e…a693backed Yes62c45.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.171060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4683…683fbacked Yes62c35.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03df…7769backed No39c33.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…b17fbacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+72.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca89…a9f6backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b1c…74a5backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…3ba7backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.26425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70d5…119ebacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7af4…043abacked Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba5…e557backed Yes63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fb…6d42backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x010b…81dcbacked No39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6581…e625backed No39c25.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecd5…7330backed Yes79c25.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Yes79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.324477.3%34 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick75cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b87…bd1abacked Yes62c25.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef5e…4c1dbacked Yes61c24.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.751662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes71c22.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.482445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5151…4e57backed Yes63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes79c17.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed Yes63c17.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4521266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b5…db08backed Yes65c16.79$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes79c15.82$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.321258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2e…1e7bbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c5…c346backed Yes79c14.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.086100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed Yes79c13.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-78.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.