TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Alexei Popyrin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mensikof Mensik, Popyrin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,880

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Popyrin26c14,636$3,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.321,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Mensik77c14,211$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,210.9627460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Popyrin15c8,963$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.552,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Popyrin27c7,683$2,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,060.591,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Popyrin25c6,662$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,651.477,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed Mensik73c6,000$4,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.829855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Mensik75c5,500$4,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37515665.4%102 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Popyrin28c4,581$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.2411045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd5…d06bbacked Popyrin29c4,525$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.124723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Popyrin22c4,491$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.021,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Mensik77c4,163$3,206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.5965558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mensik75c3,383$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.458,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Popyrin26c3,270$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.917248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Mensik76c3,188$2,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.46,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6748…6c3bbacked Mensik70c2,195$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+34%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Popyrin11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204250%21 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Mensik75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Popyrin6c1,761$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Popyrin28c1,750$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49072452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Popyrin26c1,699$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.3238133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Mensik75c1,581$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.395354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Popyrin27c1,445$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.178348.2%40 W · 43 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc44d…8dbbbacked Mensik73c1,301$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.37560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Popyrin22c1,105$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.076,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Mensik73c1,090$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.968262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Popyrin19c1,050$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.2481349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Popyrin26c1,016$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.2311045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Popyrin27c999.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9923945.6%109 W · 130 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Mensik73c958.9$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.920748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5203…0312backed Mensik73c938$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.261872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Mensik73c889$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0316648.8%81 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac8…d52bbacked Popyrin24c875.13$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Mensik78c814.63$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.992,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Popyrin24c790.81$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4817933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Mensik73c715.6$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.2146553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Mensik78c710.42$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5436968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Popyrin23c697.29$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.292,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Mensik75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6765157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mensik73c634.71$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.81,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Mensik73c634.19$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2323670.8%167 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Mensik73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13544360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Mensik73c469.86$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.861,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Mensik71c468$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7214940.9%61 W · 88 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Popyrin24c446$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10717462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Mensik72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.671,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Mensik73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9647946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Mensik74c404$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Mensik72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Popyrin29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11613134.4%45 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6007…d1bebacked Mensik73c351$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.771656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Popyrin20c334.01$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.533,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Popyrin27c325.93$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8819653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Popyrin21c322$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Mensik73c316.17$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9921959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mensik72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Mensik72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7884736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Mensik72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7818659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x794c…fa17backed Mensik73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9715070%105 W · 45 L+0.6wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07aa…63bfbacked Mensik73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.978261%50 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Popyrin26c269$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9460943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ba1…2ffcbacked Mensik76c263.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.711442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2dd7…a8adbacked Mensik76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.163154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x871b…b344backed Mensik73c220.55$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.551172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Popyrin22c219.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Popyrin19c208.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.542,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe3…1f2abacked Mensik73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.4812162%75 W · 46 L-14.3wins-0.12per pick74cpaid-13.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Mensik73c205.47$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Popyrin24c202.67$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.214,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Popyrin26c200.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.271,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9edc…b088backed Popyrin27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5428424.3%69 W · 215 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Popyrin10c192.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.464,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Popyrin27c188$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7660%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Popyrin27c186.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed Popyrin27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Popyrin28c180$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Popyrin29c172.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Mensik73c171.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2324560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Mensik73c165$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.551,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Mensik75c161.82$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8235268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Mensik74c158.18$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1342046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Popyrin24c146.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1124454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Popyrin28c145.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.181,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Mensik75c140$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3558753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Mensik75c139.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3229063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x262d…33ddbacked Mensik72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8921263.7%135 W · 77 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…2509backed Mensik73c137.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.053647.2%17 W · 19 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Mensik73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Mensik73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.994772.3%34 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Mensik73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9940264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94e4…6be5backed Mensik73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Mensik73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9946030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb227…7553backed Mensik74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.146445.3%29 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9183…59f0backed Mensik75c133.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0120039%78 W · 122 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Mensik74c122.81$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9374961.8%463 W · 286 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Mensik73c119.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3349142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Popyrin22c117$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6913647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Popyrin27c111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9760240.5%244 W · 358 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea7…337cbacked Mensik73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.591471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Popyrin28c108.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Mensik73c105.55$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.552454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.