TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6007…d1be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: UFC, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,639Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$669.63
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$103.42
Roland Garros ATP: Martin Landaluce vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,001.3
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarrobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,085.47
Cap Cana: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Valentin Royerbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$510.48
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,858Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,857.5
BNP Paribas Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,053Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+64%+$1,314.94
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$756.24
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Learner Tienbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$486.04
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+47.1%+$38.72
Mexican Open: Yibing Wu vs Flavio Cobollibacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$268.92
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$94.77
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Kordabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$387.72
Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$647.28
Qatar Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+75.4%+$359.91
Delray Beach Open: Marcos Giron vs Casper Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$116.18
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$869.4
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$267.14
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$90.78
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$236.84
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$92.86
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$117.52
Mavericks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+75.4%+$211.56
Heat vs. Mavericksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$95.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$915.13
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FaZe (BO3)backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$53.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+78.3%+$670.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$186.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. North Carolina Statebacked North Carolina State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+63.9%+$109.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$103.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.