College Football · resolved market
Memphis vs. North Carolina State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c1fbba9d91114340592de7ff94c4865d6d2011e5558d4afb1d4771a7c40c04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Carolina Stateof Memphis, North Carolina State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Memphis | 30c | 83,520$24,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,841.18 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed North Carolina State | 78c | 29,745$23,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,505.01 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Memphis | 39c | 23,254$9,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,069.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Carolina State | 68c | 20,000$13,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed North Carolina State | 61c | 15,910$9,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,180.21 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed North Carolina State | 62c | 15,000$9,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Carolina State | 59c | 13,220$7,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,404.28 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed North Carolina State | 60c | 12,695$7,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,078 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Memphis | 40c | 12,633$5,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.28 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State | 70c | 10,499$7,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.8 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Memphis | 40c | 10,286$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.65 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina State | 69c | 10,273$7,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.97 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked North Carolina State | 68c | 10,240$6,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,276.87 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Memphis | 42c | 9,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,779.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina State | 58c | 8,021$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.38 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Memphis | 7c | 5,999$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.41 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Memphis | 6c | 5,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Memphis | 41c | 4,873$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Memphis | 16c | 4,336$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.56 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Memphis | 41c | 3,949$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Memphis | 9c | 3,939$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Memphis | 7c | 3,485$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.95 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Memphis | 6c | 3,008$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Memphis | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Memphis | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…9faabacked North Carolina State | 72c | 2,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Memphis | 13c | 2,667$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed North Carolina State | 59c | 2,463$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.03 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Memphis | 9c | 2,181$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed North Carolina State | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Memphis | 9c | 1,887$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.41 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed North Carolina State | 59c | 1,741$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.86 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked North Carolina State | 59c | 1,692$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.2 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc5…63c0backed North Carolina State | 61c | 1,691$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…b859backed Memphis | 39c | 1,689$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Carolina State | 72c | 1,626$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Memphis | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed North Carolina State | 61c | 1,311$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.48 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Memphis | 39c | 1,250$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.47 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked Memphis | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Memphis | 40c | 1,205$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.11 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f6…15fbbacked Memphis | 25c | 1,023$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Memphis | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed North Carolina State | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Memphis | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Memphis | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Memphis | 4c | 958.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Memphis | 20c | 822.51$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Memphis | 15c | 813.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…eb81backed Memphis | 26c | 767.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina State | 59c | 748.41$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.85 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Memphis | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Memphis | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed North Carolina State | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Memphis | 38c | 649.99$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Memphis | 23c | 632.83$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed North Carolina State | 61c | 625.28$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.86 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…d9d2backed North Carolina State | 61c | 610$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Memphis | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…673abacked North Carolina State | 60c | 590$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked North Carolina State | 60c | 551$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.4 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Memphis | 35c | 467.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked North Carolina State | 60c | 405$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.42 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Memphis | 36c | 402.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Memphis | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed North Carolina State | 60c | 394.02$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Carolina State | 65c | 387.84$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49e2…018dbacked North Carolina State | 60c | 366.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.37 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed North Carolina State | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 71cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…128abacked Memphis | 31c | 316.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…d1bebacked North Carolina State | 61c | 281$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…58c7backed Memphis | 41c | 278.73$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Memphis | 41c | 273.17$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed North Carolina State | 74c | 267.57$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.57 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed North Carolina State | 60c | 259.75$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed North Carolina State | 58c | 258.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Memphis | 19c | 252$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Memphis | 41c | 246.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…341dbacked Memphis | 16c | 245.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Memphis | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked North Carolina State | 58c | 235.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.87 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Memphis | 28c | 202.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Memphis | 39c | 200$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41d…0437backed Memphis | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfded…312cbacked North Carolina State | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce4…218ebacked North Carolina State | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…c5a5backed Memphis | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Memphis | 23c | 164.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Memphis | 41c | 154$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…c0edbacked Memphis | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Memphis | 40c | 146.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Memphis | 41c | 144.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6719…1e71backed Memphis | 8c | 136.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed North Carolina State | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked North Carolina State | 62c | 108.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da7…4a42backed North Carolina State | 65c | 102.77$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Memphis | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked North Carolina State | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed North Carolina State | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Memphis | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis vs. North Carolina Statethis page
- Memphis vs. North Carolina State: O/U 58.5Under won
- O/U 57.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)North Carolina State won
- Spread: North Carolina State (-4.5)North Carolina State won
- Spread: North Carolina State (-5.5)North Carolina State won
- Spread: North Carolina State (-6.5)North Carolina State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.