College Football · resolved market
O/U 57.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b7e6965703ba988ba6cf0225ef0d68c7c52df4c605a8cb5e999e5665b11d9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,306
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7178…0c07backed Over | 47c | 10,600$4,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,981.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 53c | 8,821$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.82 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 54c | 4,697$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.67 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 46c | 4,464$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.42 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Under | 52c | 2,111$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 1,507$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 1,507$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.36 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…e887backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 46c | 399.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 357.49$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 225$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.25 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Over | 61c | 225$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 51c | 133$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 101.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 48c | 52.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…e8a0backed Under | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…fc57backed Over | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…d929backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6468…e03dbacked Over | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 57.5this page
- Memphis vs. North Carolina StateNorth Carolina State won
- Memphis vs. North Carolina State: O/U 58.5Under won
- Spread: North Carolina State (-3.5)North Carolina State won
- Spread: North Carolina State (-4.5)North Carolina State won
- Spread: North Carolina State (-5.5)North Carolina State won
- Spread: North Carolina State (-6.5)North Carolina State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.