TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: North Carolina State (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
North Carolina Stateof North Carolina State, Memphis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,516 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe584…e6e2backed Memphis57c350.7$200 inLost-$199.94770.2%33 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed North Carolina State44c272.73$120 inWon+$152.7330253%160 W · 142 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked North Carolina State46c217.39$100 inWon+$117.3917450%87 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Memphis57c113$64 inLost-$64.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Memphis54c112$60 inLost-$60.481060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Memphis56c107.14$60 inLost-$606654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Memphis56c56$31 inLost-$31.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Memphis56c36$20 inLost-$20.164358.1%25 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed North Carolina State43c33$14 inWon+$18.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed North Carolina State43c29$12 inWon+$16.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed North Carolina State43c28$12 inWon+$15.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed North Carolina State44c27$12 inWon+$15.121250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc07…e9f2backed North Carolina State46c25$12 inWon+$13.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed North Carolina State46c24$11 inWon+$12.96633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed North Carolina State46c22$10 inWon+$11.88955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Memphis55c19.31$11 inLost-$10.642,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.