Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1983276c588650c3af1bc1cb2c6c2e69ad04848aaea63e5c11806983ee0662df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $441,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 20c | 34,997$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.42 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 29,654$23,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,995.54 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 20c | 23,789$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.77 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 20c | 21,106$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.18 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 80c | 17,914$14,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,636.74 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 21c | 13,595$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.94 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 20c | 13,186$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.73 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 21c | 10,064$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.37 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked Yes | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 79c | 8,000$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed No | 21c | 7,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 79c | 6,955$5,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.49 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 21c | 6,429$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 21c | 6,397$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.29 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8813…47e6backed Yes | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 5,365$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780e…e99cbacked Yes | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 4,867$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.07 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 21c | 4,643$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.03 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 20c | 4,350$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 4,083$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.08 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 20c | 4,041$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.95 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 80c | 3,728$2,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.58 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 15c | 3,221$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.06 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb5…7349backed Yes | 80c | 3,182$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 80c | 3,125$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed No | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 79c | 2,485$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.84 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Yes | 80c | 2,297$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.74 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed No | 20c | 2,200$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 2,169$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 80c | 2,075$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.01 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 21c | 2,050$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.48 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Yes | 79c | 1,972$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…7b6fbacked No | 21c | 1,946$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 3c | 1,475$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 20c | 1,440$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 20c | 1,299$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.8 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 20c | 1,290$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.9 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 79c | 1,244$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.44 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed No | 21c | 1,052$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.88 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a32…0188backed Yes | 79c | 1,000$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 80c | 881.67$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.33 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 20c | 868$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 21c | 866.33$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.27 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 15c | 826$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 236 | 37.3%88 W · 148 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 20c | 810$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 79c | 807.7$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 21c | 669.67$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed No | 18c | 633.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Yes | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 80c | 621.25$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3363…c1b4backed No | 11c | 619.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 19c | 599.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…e212backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked Yes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…63c1backed No | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Yes | 80c | 462.5$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…e547backed No | 21c | 412.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed No | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…8908backed No | 19c | 380$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 20c | 365$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 20c | 356.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Yes | 80c | 348.85$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936b…c603backed No | 13c | 348.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea68…ff92backed Yes | 80c | 341$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 21c | 327.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 80c | 310$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Yes | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 80c | 298$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 79c | 287.1$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e328backed Yes | 80c | 281$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 79c | 250.66$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…bf99backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…1593backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…7fdabacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +248.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Yes | 80c | 247.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed No | 21c | 230$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 21c | 228.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed Yes | 80c | 225$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 80c | 214.68$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…0799backed No | 22c | 213.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?this page
- Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-01-28?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.