South American Leagues · resolved market
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61a3564ccba6c9bfb8a2c7c6feba2db9ab71c6384c219a6ff2bb028cbb47970d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 2c | 8,539$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.24 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 6,588$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.84 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 3,461$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 1c | 2,084$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 37c | 1,859$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.99 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 28c | 1,419$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.33 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 72c | 1,314$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed Under | 2c | 1,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 1c | 1,215$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Under | 1c | 891.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 865.6$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 21c | 740.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 2c | 592$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f6…73fabacked Over | 71c | 454.55$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 361.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 80c | 312.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 27c | 304.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 17c | 247.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 36c | 247.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 60c | 245$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 60c | 245$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Under | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 40c | 176.08$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 79c | 163.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 34c | 158.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 34c | 155.88$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 62c | 155.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 34c | 155.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 38c | 115.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 60c | 75.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 19c | 62.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 61c | 60.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 60c | 49.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 37c | 38.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 59c | 34.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 55c | 24.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ec…da98backed Over | 73c | 20.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 54c | 19.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Over | 78c | 18.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5this page
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: CA River Plate O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.