South American Leagues · resolved market
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3781f369029e162905e0e355e300c527408591ca6ab91ed6ebdbfc4ea690d87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 3,223$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.86 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,837$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.83 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 40c | 868.71$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.48 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 37c | 569$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed No | 70c | 283.35$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 214.26$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 190.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed No | 57c | 173.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 42c | 173.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 43c | 121.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 43c | 101.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 97.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 69c | 96.61$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed No | 57c | 88.66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 25c | 67.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 25c | 66.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 73c | 63.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 65c | 63.33$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.39 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 65c | 56.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 43c | 52.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 49.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yes | 31c | 49.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc858…f2f2backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 75c | 44.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 57c | 42.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 55c | 35.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 68c | 33.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 57c | 25.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 55c | 23.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 162 | 34.6%56 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 61c | 23.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed No | 58c | 18.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed No | 68c | 16.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: CA River Plate O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.