South American Leagues · resolved market
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e541c42fa48370e990602f8906ff37b8a06dfd29da3d9d9f14e9988412f1cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 36c | 14,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.95 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 13,453$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,801.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 63c | 11,188$7,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,085.53 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 52c | 9,205$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,384.54 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 3,067$1,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.05 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 60c | 2,050$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.99 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Over | 64c | 1,580$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 1,310$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.37 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 44c | 1,213$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.12 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 61c | 1,187$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.98 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 36c | 956.82$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.94 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Under | 37c | 800$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…500abacked Over | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 34c | 758$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.72 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 73c | 706.9$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed Under | 38c | 503.72$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.31 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…6690backed Over | 27c | 499.52$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 55c | 460$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.9 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 55c | 450.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.48 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 433.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.57 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 63c | 432.42$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.42 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 52c | 428.87$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 59c | 378.79$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.48 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 371.28$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 57c | 296$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 63c | 208.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 14c | 167.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Under | 68c | 164.62$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 64c | 157.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 155.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb23c…61a7backed Over | 64c | 148.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 36c | 144.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 23c | 140.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 120.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 45c | 118.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 63c | 115.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 68c | 95.11$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…72a0backed Over | 32c | 91.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +186.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 39c | 81.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 36c | 55.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 39c | 46.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 46c | 42.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 38c | 35.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x395e…cba5backed Under | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 49c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 68c | 21.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 64c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 103 | 65%67 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442c…3db8backed Under | 73c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5this page
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: CA River Plate O/U 0.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA River Plate: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.