TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Argentina Open: Sebastian Baez vs Luciano Darderi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Darderiof Baez, Darderi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,551

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68dd…f0b2backed Darderi59c37,690$22,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,303.036552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Baez40c14,358$5,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,743.2976140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Baez41c13,533$5,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,548.7276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Darderi59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10043051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Baez41c9,726$3,996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,996.2124448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Baez41c9,331$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,834.6938133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Darderi75c5,725$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.448,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Baez21c4,786$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.8110440.4%42 W · 62 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Baez21c4,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.95623.2%13 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Darderi58c3,600$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,511.9993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Baez22c3,529$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.2810743%46 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Baez34c3,500$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20520653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Darderi77c2,757$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.6736968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Baez40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012450.8%63 W · 61 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Darderi75c2,378$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.3881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Baez43c2,334$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Darderi59c2,112$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.965860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Darderi60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8006350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Darderi67c1,939$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.992,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Baez40c1,782$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.711,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Baez46c1,738$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8009264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Darderi59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.3214250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Darderi77c1,248$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.892,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Baez42c1,228$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5171,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Baez41c1,152$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.131,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baez42c1,132$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47647552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Darderi71c1,082$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.12,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Darderi64c1,067$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.082,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Baez38c1,020$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38628444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Baez41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Darderi59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41011843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Darderi59c1,000$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.9110557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Darderi60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Darderi60c891.67$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.6726158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Darderi62c884.12$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.223,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Baez43c852.87$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.6737339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ab9…5b82backed Baez38c779.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.89135.2%32 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Baez36c692.42$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.2762545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Baez13c592.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.611,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Baez11c568.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6528322.3%63 W · 220 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Baez37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Baez38c537.32$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.077041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Baez40c501.25$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.58145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi57c494$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.427,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Darderi61c492.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.35156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Baez41c488.71$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Baez42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Darderi65c436.92$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.9218663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Darderi58c432.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.831,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Baez40c367$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.818548.1%89 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f46…4f2bbacked Darderi67c346.75$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.031650%8 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Darderi59c332.97$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3249143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Baez41c293$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.131,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Darderi62c275.89$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2220552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Baez39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Baez4c256.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Darderi60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031153.1%165 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Baez41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021454.7%117 W · 97 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Baez42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10069350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Darderi60c237.7$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0839872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Baez43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10064350.2%323 W · 320 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Baez43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Baez39c229.35$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.926227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ed…af11backed Baez13c216.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.362060%12 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Baez12c205.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Baez42c193$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.137,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Baez37c171.89$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6472542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Darderi59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.497356.2%41 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Darderi59c168$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.881,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Darderi60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6716558.8%97 W · 68 L-0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa519…2cc1backed Darderi60c166.65$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.667549.3%37 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Darderi62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2913356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Baez42c161.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.151,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Baez39c160.46$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5832837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Baez42c155$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.131332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Darderi65c154.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3114947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32a…dea9backed Darderi60c143.33$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.3311454.4%62 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Baez37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Darderi56c131.93$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0595140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Darderi62c121.1$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.113066.9%87 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Baez42c119$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…6a55backed Baez19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe6…61bdbacked Baez45c104.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9711347.8%54 W · 59 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Darderi73c102.73$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.416,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Baez41c101.66$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.674,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Darderi57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4370465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Baez42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4216044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Darderi60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4026247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb478…ac0abacked Darderi60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4036047.2%170 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Baez42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Baez41c97.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd751…58bdbacked Darderi63c88.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.751250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b9…b193backed Darderi58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2125862.4%161 W · 97 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f89…20bbbacked Baez41c86.02$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2710637.7%40 W · 66 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9da2…ed3abacked Darderi60c71.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7510668.9%73 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Baez41c71.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.241,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Darderi66c67.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.672,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…64eebacked Darderi60c63.33$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.334269%29 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Baez42c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4625950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Baez31c62.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.053,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.