NFL · resolved market
Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc36a59cfd7027c150a6962c802dce01904f303994a8e8e1460ae276f66c4b09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,234
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,234 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Yes | 14c | 673.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.87 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd4…194bbacked Yes | 25c | 499.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed Yes | 15c | 326.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Yes | 17c | 320.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0f…5aabbacked Yes | 13c | 308.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…012dbacked Yes | 23c | 132.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…35e5backed Yes | 21c | 111.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8282…61a1backed Yes | 20c | 101.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…e673backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…694dbacked Yes | 13c | 91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x961d…6c4bbacked Yes | 24c | 82.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 57c | 74.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 76c | 70.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…2815backed Yes | 45c | 58.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…3041backed Yes | 38c | 52.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb50…257dbacked Yes | 47c | 31.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 78c | 18.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 62c | 17.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 74c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 132M and 136M viewers?this page
- Will Super Bowl LX have at least 140M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 116M and 120M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 120M and 124M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 124M and 128M viewers?Yes won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 128M and 132M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have between 136M and 140M viewers?No won
- Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.