Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70f42c87abaf7af376651e20b7feb9037f2f33eed5425a5a307a1f9dc9954d6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Martinez, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8154…f2aabacked Martinez | 0c | 6,043$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Martinez | 21c | 5,260$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.67 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Martinez | 16c | 4,215$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.55 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Darderi | 80c | 3,978$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.4 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Martinez | 16c | 2,813$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Martinez | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Martinez | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.99 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darderi | 78c | 2,214$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Martinez | 22c | 2,008$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.76 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Darderi | 77c | 1,986$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.11 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Martinez | 9c | 1,611$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6b…e258backed Martinez | 19c | 1,425$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.4 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Darderi | 80c | 1,396$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.57 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Martinez | 14c | 1,381$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.01 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Martinez | 21c | 1,048$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Martinez | 17c | 1,004$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Martinez | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Martinez | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…e33ebacked Martinez | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +166%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Martinez | 4c | 651.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Martinez | 15c | 646.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Martinez | 19c | 576.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Martinez | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Martinez | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Martinez | 19c | 540$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Martinez | 19c | 536.84$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Martinez | 16c | 513.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Martinez | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Martinez | 12c | 493.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Martinez | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.36 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd751…58bdbacked Martinez | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Martinez | 21c | 414.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martinez | 15c | 402.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…8762backed Darderi | 80c | 341.26$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Martinez | 18c | 333.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…783ebacked Martinez | 15c | 326.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Martinez | 21c | 290.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Martinez | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…d66dbacked Martinez | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Martinez | 19c | 267.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Martinez | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Martinez | 15c | 235.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Martinez | 14c | 210.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Martinez | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f2…d8b1backed Martinez | 18c | 171.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Martinez | 16c | 171$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Martinez | 19c | 151.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Martinez | 24c | 143$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Martinez | 21c | 140.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Martinez | 17c | 136.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Martinez | 16c | 129.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Martinez | 16c | 119.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Martinez | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Martinez | 18c | 109.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Martinez | 15c | 104.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Martinez | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Martinez | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Martinez | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Martinez | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…1d14backed Martinez | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Martinez | 19c | 60.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Darderi | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Darderi | 79c | 43.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…b64dbacked Darderi | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Darderi | 79c | 32.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 172 | 57%98 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Darderi | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Darderi | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Darderi | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Darderi | 80c | 21.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51a…404bbacked Darderi | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderithis page
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Martinez (+1.5)Darderi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.