Olympics · resolved market
Women's Quarterfinals - Czechia vs. Sweden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x588d2d952840166643c26af425f1c28e51e12894e2fbc3d9c5a0a5699db79672
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swedenof Czechia, Sweden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1ca5…b91cbacked Czechia | 0c | 16,093$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sweden | 45c | 4,818$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.07 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Czechia | 55c | 1,781$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.62 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Sweden | 57c | 1,178$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.53 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f674backed Czechia | 56c | 1,157$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Czechia | 54c | 1,085$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Czechia | 56c | 895$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Sweden | 48c | 890.82$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Czechia | 55c | 752.56$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Sweden | 44c | 704.85$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Czechia | 55c | 679.41$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.73 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Czechia | 51c | 532.63$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Czechia | 55c | 420$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Czechia | 56c | 393.14$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.14 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Czechia | 44c | 282.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.44 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Czechia | 42c | 227.21$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Czechia | 42c | 217.75$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Czechia | 45c | 215$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Sweden | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Czechia | 14c | 149.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Czechia | 49c | 126.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Sweden | 45c | 124.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Czechia | 21c | 117.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Czechia | 45c | 114.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Czechia | 16c | 106.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Czechia | 56c | 106.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…eb7abacked Sweden | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Czechia | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Czechia | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Sweden | 47c | 99.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…14c0backed Czechia | 56c | 92.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Sweden | 44c | 90.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Czechia | 23c | 90.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Czechia | 57c | 82.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Sweden | 44c | 81.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sweden | 62c | 77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe847…b7e2backed Czechia | 59c | 76.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Czechia | 26c | 69.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +303.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Sweden | 58c | 55.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…25dfbacked Czechia | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe883…20f8backed Czechia | 50c | 50.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Czechia | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Czechia | 53c | 46.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Sweden | 44c | 45.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sweden | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Czechia | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Czechia | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…64eebacked Sweden | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af8…4fb0backed Czechia | 43c | 34.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Sweden | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Sweden | 60c | 32.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8574…61f9backed Sweden | 48c | 30.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde59…451fbacked Czechia | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…0df3backed Sweden | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed Sweden | 45c | 28.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0db5…57b7backed Sweden | 43c | 25.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2b…626cbacked Czechia | 57c | 20.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ca…ae4abacked Czechia | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Sweden | 67c | 15.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.