Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd2b50386f3d86ac32cb07786c1ea4b4cfa6b81b1e39ca61fb4ca07044859424
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Team Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 51c | 14,354$7,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,009.47 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 39c | 9,317$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.83 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 8,325$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed Team Spirit | 55c | 3,890$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed MOUZ | 64c | 2,744$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.25 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 51c | 2,395$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.71 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 57c | 2,062$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.25 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,383$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.93 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 58c | 1,170$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.71 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,130$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.6 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 37c | 1,120$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.5 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Team Spirit | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Team Spirit | 32c | 991.39$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.92 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Team Spirit | 16c | 949.28$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.77 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Spirit | 58c | 880.64$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Spirit | 3c | 650$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed MOUZ | 47c | 644.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.55 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ | 49c | 619.34$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.67 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Spirit | 59c | 592.05$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.42 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98e…a046backed MOUZ | 39c | 516.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.69 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 512.03$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.38 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 50c | 504.59$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.14 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Team Spirit | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…e38ebacked Team Spirit | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed MOUZ | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed MOUZ | 38c | 499.97$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6eb…bc82backed Team Spirit | 6c | 471.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 47c | 461.49$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.08 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 38c | 453.23$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Team Spirit | 6c | 450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 12cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 441.08$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.26 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 44c | 347.51$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.01 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 61c | 325.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 300$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Spirit | 51c | 299.97$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Team Spirit | 61c | 245.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…d9d3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 238.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 52c | 212.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…0808backed MOUZ | 45c | 210.31$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Spirit | 58c | 210$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Spirit | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 54c | 208.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Spirit | 59c | 200$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked MOUZ | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed MOUZ | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed MOUZ | 52c | 192.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 45c | 191.71$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.82 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Team Spirit | 52c | 173.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Spirit | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit | 61c | 164.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 56c | 163.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed MOUZ | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked MOUZ | 47c | 157.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.91 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 156.95$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.08 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 772 | 58.5%452 W · 320 L | +74.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Team Spirit | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed MOUZ | 42c | 118.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed MOUZ | 62c | 101.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Spirit | 60c | 101.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Spirit | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9201…6078backed Team Spirit | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked MOUZ | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed MOUZ | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 594 | 56.7%337 W · 257 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 54c | 93.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 90.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Spirit | 54c | 89.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 57c | 88.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 45c | 83.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b0…4758backed MOUZ | 54c | 78.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 77.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team Spirit | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked MOUZ | 45c | 67.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…804dbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04e…5c25backed Team Spirit | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…0799backed MOUZ | 68c | 59.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed MOUZ | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked MOUZ | 42c | 53.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed MOUZ | 42c | 52.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 139 | 46%64 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed MOUZ | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 48.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…fb4bbacked MOUZ | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed MOUZ | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…6c06backed Team Spirit | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Team Spirit | 55c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b5bbacked MOUZ | 60c | 35.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Team Spirit | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…9083backed MOUZ | 47c | 30.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed MOUZ | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…47a4backed MOUZ | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.