South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ed6f7c8cc32959f5387b4f1515584fbebae23c96928aa2ac61942108583550d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 8,269$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,179.98 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 51c | 3,700$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 3,368$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.8 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 46c | 2,208$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.39 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 53c | 1,934$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.07 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,219$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.1 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 54c | 1,188$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.2 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 43c | 1,159$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.59 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42f…8c01backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 35c | 999.31$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.55 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 52c | 858.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.86 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 49c | 652.22$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 56c | 622.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 54c | 566.41$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 419.27$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.03 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 51c | 366.67$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 54c | 299.2$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 53c | 297$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.84 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…ad9ebacked Over | 54c | 275.93$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 38c | 261.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.68 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 58c | 251.19$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Over | 46c | 214.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Over | 59c | 194.08$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 50c | 189$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 184.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 39c | 179.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.09 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 36c | 138.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 39c | 135.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 50c | 124.13$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 57c | 99.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 20c | 97.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +241.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Over | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 40c | 76.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…e4d0backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…a929backed Over | 58c | 67.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Under | 47c | 63.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 66c | 60.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 62c | 55.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 42.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Under | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 45c | 40.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 35c | 40.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x646a…7eb2backed Over | 56c | 35.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Over | 49c | 31.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 36c | 31.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 51c | 31.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.42 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under | 38c | 28.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 57c | 28.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Under | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 1.5this page
- CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CA Newell's Old Boys: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.