TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublik

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bublikof Hurkacz, Bublik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$501,233
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$535,982

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $501,233 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 374 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Bublik38c72,377$27,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,058.972,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hurkacz65c65,686$42,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,534.322,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bublik37c31,711$11,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,860.541,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bublik31c24,190$7,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,681.6165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Hurkacz53c23,936$12,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,720.9880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…8e62backed Hurkacz0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Hurkacz63c19,452$12,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,295.137,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Hurkacz43c18,132$7,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,796.411,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Bublik56c14,330$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,329.7127460.2%165 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bublik35c13,697$4,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,910.41,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bublik36c12,939$4,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,344.0497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hurkacz59c11,915$7,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,079.1811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Bublik29c10,431$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,430.6828444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Bublik54c9,447$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,346.9413260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Bublik18c8,182$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,698.274320.9%9 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Hurkacz62c8,034$4,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,981.1557939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Hurkacz56c7,585$4,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,234.3281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Bublik56c7,419$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,264.4613934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Bublik57c6,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,58044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bublik20c3,960$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,170.654,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Hurkacz44c3,601$1,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.4728338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2020…7e22backed Bublik28c3,511$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.464055%22 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hurkacz63c3,381$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.068,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Hurkacz41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.987736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Bublik54c2,904$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.1223126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Hurkacz73c2,788$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.1111560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Hurkacz44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10032637.4%122 W · 204 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e1e…b911backed Bublik32c2,463$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.335354.7%29 W · 24 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Bublik32c2,306$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.2940748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Bublik57c2,230$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.821,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Hurkacz52c2,117$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10055646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bublik56c1,998$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.1378152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bublik56c1,967$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.0944754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Bublik26c1,923$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.081,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Hurkacz47c1,748$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.4619846%91 W · 107 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Hurkacz75c1,728$1,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.9552037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d91…bb2abacked Bublik59c1,714$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.7510557.1%60 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Hurkacz33c1,702$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.18446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Bublik35c1,659$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.37248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Bublik55c1,559$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.341645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Bublik51c1,553$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.0932050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3568…c765backed Bublik48c1,412$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Hurkacz44c1,342$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.4821338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Bublik52c1,288$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.465853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Bublik32c1,273$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.2325542%107 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Bublik53c1,152$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.6939431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Hurkacz44c1,114$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.996439.1%25 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dae…c996backed Hurkacz47c1,028$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4881942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0f…ae40backed Bublik46c1,011$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.094557.8%26 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78e0…375bbacked Hurkacz32c1,009$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.552055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Bublik56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4409245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Bublik57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea81…81b9backed Hurkacz79c1,000$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7901060%6 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Bublik24c1,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd2…8414backed Bublik59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+39.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e50…1efebacked Hurkacz41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Hurkacz45c985.36$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.411,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Bublik51c976.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7484736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Bublik33c963$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Hurkacz43c902.17$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.9310739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Bublik56c859.71$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2772452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Bublik28c857.14$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.1413435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Hurkacz43c854.92$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.6276146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hurkacz44c835.17$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7234842.2%147 W · 201 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Bublik60c835.17$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.1713826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Bublik57c785.17$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.1737339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Bublik27c773.67$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.425556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Hurkacz70c769.98$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.8915356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c37…9b8cbacked Bublik26c769.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.236050%30 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Bublik79c764.33$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.334461.4%27 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Bublik39c761.83$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.6392548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Bublik45c752.71$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Bublik48c750$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39044163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Bublik28c730$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.618636%67 W · 119 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Hurkacz40c722.95$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.384,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Bublik55c701.14$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.5716339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Hurkacz54c700.56$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.852,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Hurkacz72c694$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.624146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ee4…ace2backed Bublik56c678$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Bublik34c666.96$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.561850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Bublik39c653.09$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3149143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fa…1a66backed Bublik58c633.69$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.613275%24 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x55f0…4e2cbacked Bublik57c614.28$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Bublik60c603.17$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1737444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Hurkacz44c585.55$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.6431753.6%170 W · 147 L+17.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cb…1356backed Hurkacz45c578.6$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Bublik55c546.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.3426158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Hurkacz22c545.85$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Bublik56c528.28$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4410757.9%62 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Bublik57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3265651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc0c…218abacked Bublik57c505.26$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2654138.1%206 W · 335 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Bublik59c504.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.4263247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Bublik51c502.48$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.488262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Hurkacz58c500.01$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.021,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Hurkacz51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.957645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cc1…fdc6backed Hurkacz44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2206036.7%22 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Bublik55c492$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.686930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bublik69c477.33$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.736,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Hurkacz43c462.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Bublik14c450.32$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.8649632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.