Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fdc734c91393ebbf1ad61e5ae30bc09b7a34e63ab619bea302decdbbb3975dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof OG, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 63c | 27,556$17,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,082.4 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed OG | 46c | 20,000$9,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,159.01 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 30c | 8,294$2,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.42 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 28c | 7,076$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.52 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed OG | 50c | 5,031$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.98 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked OG | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 55c | 5,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1768…e91fbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 4,131$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 30c | 4,000$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.37 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed OG | 30c | 4,000$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.2 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb328…4df1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed OG | 29c | 3,429$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.75 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 36c | 3,108$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.97 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed OG | 27c | 2,927$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.97 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,737$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.16 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…3609backed OG | 36c | 2,264$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,800$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,605$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.78 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked OG | 11c | 1,530$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,300$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…7103backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,288$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.62 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed OG | 40c | 1,234$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.47 | 573 | 55.5%318 W · 255 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed OG | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…58afbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,133$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed OG | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.29 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed OG | 20c | 1,020$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed OG | 50c | 977.17$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.37 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 71c | 912.91$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Liquid | 67c | 911.64$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.64 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed OG | 39c | 869.86$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.55 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Liquid | 60c | 833.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.5 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed OG | 34c | 798.94$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.64 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed OG | 34c | 759.5$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked OG | 43c | 745.71$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.14 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed OG | 33c | 628.14$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid | 62c | 578.29$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.19 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Liquid | 66c | 509.36$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.18 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed OG | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 465.39$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.39 | 534 | 44.4%237 W · 297 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked OG | 47c | 462.76$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.49 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Team Liquid | 71c | 426.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…0b89backed OG | 50c | 328$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid | 63c | 318.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.91 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed OG | 25c | 311.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 56c | 309.82$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 62c | 300$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid | 79c | 299.51$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…b8f7backed Team Liquid | 76c | 262.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed OG | 6c | 255.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Team Liquid | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 61c | 244.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked OG | 41c | 209.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Liquid | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed OG | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…7946backed Team Liquid | 64c | 194.33$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 180.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Team Liquid | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 176.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Team Liquid | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Liquid | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Liquid | 61c | 163.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Team Liquid | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed OG | 10c | 160$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 148.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.56 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Liquid | 64c | 143.3$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked OG | 10c | 142.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 134.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked OG | 10c | 132.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed OG | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed Team Liquid | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Liquid | 54c | 114.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…f598backed OG | 42c | 109.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed OG | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 136 | 57.4%78 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Liquid | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Liquid | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…2a38backed Team Liquid | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…b8ffbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1532…1dadbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 99.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 226 | 54.4%123 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed OG | 38c | 90.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Team Liquid | 53c | 88.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…b977backed Team Liquid | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked OG | 24c | 77.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…405ebacked OG | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…32dfbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 68.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Liquid | 60c | 68.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…a0a4backed Team Liquid | 58c | 66.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked OG | 33c | 66.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…d83bbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b31…470bbacked OG | 56c | 63.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Team Liquid | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed OG | 34c | 58.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Liquid | 76c | 55.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…c931backed Team Liquid | 65c | 54.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed OG | 38c | 53.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…9f46backed Team Liquid | 70c | 50.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.