Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40eb3f6afe4921c457691eb73906f01548a09e4a0ea72973cccd10fcf96e5c05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof OG, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $152,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $152,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x249f…fed3backed OG | 6c | 21,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.2 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 7,412$4,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.28 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed OG | 3c | 6,782$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.29 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Liquid | 76c | 6,192$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.46 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1768…e91fbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 6,025$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked OG | 33c | 4,800$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.66 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed OG | 30c | 4,298$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.89 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed OG | 28c | 4,223$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.03 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 67c | 4,089$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.61 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed OG | 25c | 3,670$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 3,564$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.02 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OG | 33c | 3,525$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.69 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed OG | 22c | 2,688$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.42 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,386$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.52 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed OG | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed OG | 26c | 1,900$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 1,588$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.19 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked OG | 23c | 1,541$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.38 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed OG | 32c | 1,377$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.2 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a97…6315backed OG | 24c | 1,242$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked OG | 34c | 1,203$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.73 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed OG | 42c | 1,136$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.3 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…7103backed OG | 27c | 1,010$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed OG | 19c | 933.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.06 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked OG | 11c | 898.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 65c | 868.57$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed OG | 29c | 847.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 54c | 832.82$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.04 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked OG | 26c | 800$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Team Liquid | 67c | 800$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 760.12$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.12 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed OG | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 73c | 594.31$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.73 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid | 75c | 573.6$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.6 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 73c | 550.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.14 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid | 78c | 513.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…dd00backed OG | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Team Liquid | 76c | 500$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 470.1$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…e516backed OG | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Team Liquid | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…6961backed Team Liquid | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Team Liquid | 77c | 388.51$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.36 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Liquid | 77c | 371.89$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed OG | 7c | 368$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Team Liquid | 59c | 361.02$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.02 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed OG | 43c | 357.23$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 349.98$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.49 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…0b89backed OG | 50c | 330.96$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…50debacked Team Liquid | 71c | 328.77$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed OG | 31c | 310.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed OG | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed OG | 34c | 298$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked OG | 42c | 283.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked OG | 23c | 272.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid | 60c | 269.46$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.13 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Team Liquid | 72c | 260.58$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed OG | 40c | 251.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Liquid | 65c | 251.38$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Liquid | 62c | 250$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…612bbacked OG | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…951cbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 249.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked OG | 22c | 241.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce6…030ebacked Team Liquid | 58c | 240$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed OG | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed OG | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed OG | 20c | 230$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked OG | 30c | 230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed OG | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Team Liquid | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed Team Liquid | 73c | 189.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked OG | 32c | 186.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid | 67c | 175.73$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…1479backed Team Liquid | 79c | 166.72$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 163.79$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed OG | 48c | 162.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b33…c931backed OG | 26c | 159.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…0194backed Team Liquid | 79c | 134$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe6…5d3fbacked OG | 27c | 132.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked OG | 9c | 130.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Team Liquid | 64c | 124.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…ecb6backed Team Liquid | 62c | 119$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 74c | 115.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…4210backed OG | 46c | 111.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Team Liquid | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Team Liquid | 73c | 100.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed OG | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Liquid | 69c | 99.06$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…2d98backed OG | 33c | 96.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed OG | 52c | 95.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Liquid | 62c | 91$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed OG | 47c | 84.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…b6b4backed Team Liquid | 59c | 84.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Team Liquid | 77c | 83.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 82.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed OG | 38c | 81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…7e84backed OG | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed OG | 33c | 70.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…4d37backed OG | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.