TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof OG, Team Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb63…a71dbacked OG42c11,917$5,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,004.9820159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid58c11,818$6,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,963.5718452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed OG43c10,862$4,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.9833746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed OG25c3,946$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.715047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed Team Liquid60c3,745$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.6319552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed OG26c2,954$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.662650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9780…bbefbacked Team Liquid68c2,927$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.871450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked OG6c2,817$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.981,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Team Liquid58c2,764$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.064658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed OG4c2,501$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-43.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed OG43c2,303$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007341.1%30 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked OG18c2,149$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.821,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid63c2,026$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.9680443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed OG42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8408242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked OG9c1,952$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3310342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82f9…6910backed Team Liquid75c1,734$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.442259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid57c1,680$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.415345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed Team Liquid57c1,555$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.699555.8%53 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked OG8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205839.7%23 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed OG43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid79c1,272$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.7647660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ad…dc9abacked Team Liquid57c1,173$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.542100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+127.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…97a4backed Team Liquid55c1,170$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.081250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed OG45c1,104$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed OG7c1,100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9932854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid57c1,056$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.0834443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22d…3a13backed Team Liquid58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.4824045.4%109 W · 131 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Team Liquid80c1,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012061.7%74 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Team Liquid56c1,000$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.85832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Team Liquid57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43017146.8%80 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked OG9c999.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9085851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed OG43c958.92$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.7513441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG34c916.97$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.592,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Team Liquid73c814.99$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.052259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+35.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67f5…f7c9backed OG5c805.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Team Liquid56c800.21$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.099345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked OG7c799.87$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9964123.4%150 W · 491 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…ab6abacked Team Liquid76c798.27$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.581735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d3…5ea8backed Team Liquid56c785$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.41877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed OG25c750.77$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.2729245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid57c750$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32280742.6%344 W · 463 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked OG41c733.32$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6639936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG5c721.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.061,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed OG20c700$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14020949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed Team Liquid57c698.59$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.152857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+47.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4651…8da8backed OG9c693.06$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.38714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed OG38c690$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.147844.9%35 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed OG8c620$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.615131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked OG7c614$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1269835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Liquid57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25820642.2%87 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed OG24c591.75$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14041248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid56c572.57$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.931,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed OG41c555.55$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.7819742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f3e…50debacked Team Liquid58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed OG42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd2…8414backed OG43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e50…1efebacked Team Liquid57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed OG22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010850%54 W · 54 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf7d…0b89backed OG43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick50cpaid-83.4%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked OG43c460$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.82937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed OG19c440.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.098950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed OG42c395.99$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3280544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Liquid58c393$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.0625348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe180…889bbacked Team Liquid61c390.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7812456.5%70 W · 54 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG23c334.24$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.252,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked OG5c330$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8614121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Team Liquid74c318.42$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.791850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6cc…72afbacked OG17c311.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.125425.9%14 W · 40 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-41.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbb52…b8bcbacked OG11c304.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58f1…7032backed OG37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11129550.2%148 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Team Liquid57c300$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13073743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e9…b99dbacked OG4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef1…c205backed OG23c262.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.851030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Team Liquid58c251$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.429145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8799…0bc0backed OG19c237.8$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.472835.7%10 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Team Liquid71c230$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.357753.2%41 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7659…73acbacked OG25c229.74$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.021741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ef…561cbacked Team Liquid59c227.18$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.876460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed OG23c221.61$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.694136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67aa…b88cbacked OG25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa7…003fbacked OG44c197.31$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6845052.4%236 W · 214 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e7f…6d97backed OG8c196.76$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Team Liquid60c190.29$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.125046%23 W · 27 L-7.7wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-30%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa172…5273backed Team Liquid69c182.57$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed OG10c181.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2912720.5%26 W · 101 L-22.6wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-62.9%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked OG22c180$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9677256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ce6…030ebacked Team Liquid76c180$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.72850%14 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Team Liquid56c179.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1811845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc5…7b98backed Team Liquid56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.572839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa49f…b0f0backed Team Liquid57c176.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…4d72backed OG26c172.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.78520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Team Liquid59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f5a…aca1backed Team Liquid59c169.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.484355.8%24 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Team Liquid60c166.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.873964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Liquid60c161.8$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.8237549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb88…b1d7backed OG25c153.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.283228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8d…e306backed OG43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c0…9c16backed Team Liquid57c150$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Team Liquid57c150$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658223.2%19 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d7e…eb46backed Team Liquid59c148$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.