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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ENCEof ENCE, CYBERSHOKE Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,376
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,638

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,376 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports48c70,974$34,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,335.3542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed ENCE51c27,700$14,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,5735048%24 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed ENCE53c12,111$6,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,671.0641749.9%208 W · 209 L+20.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed ENCE52c9,000$4,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,319.9967041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed ENCE51c8,200$4,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0182334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked ENCE51c6,150$3,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed ENCE60c5,432$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.6719645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c5,408$2,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,689.743154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked ENCE62c5,010$3,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.253,26250.3%1,640 W · 1,622 L+97.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports34c5,000$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.491,06949.3%527 W · 542 L+40.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed ENCE50c4,988$2,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.7972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports35c4,008$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.181,62745.7%743 W · 884 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3584…e59dbacked ENCE52c2,824$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.96757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports23c2,429$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.1726046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed CYBERSHOKE Esports33c2,179$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.932,12041.9%889 W · 1,231 L-47.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d2…1b03backed ENCE43c2,099$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.686233.9%21 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+41.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe14a…9917backed ENCE50c1,900$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-42.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked ENCE51c1,294$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.8510251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked ENCE43c1,173$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.424551.1%23 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked ENCE49c1,133$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.6548246.5%224 W · 258 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe95…1c9fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports7c1,090$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.331127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked ENCE55c1,072$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.9814144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ENCE66c866.72$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.776,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0825…5e07backed ENCE67c833.77$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.731369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+34.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed ENCE53c809.43$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.4317240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb70c…41d5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c790.46$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5134235.4%121 W · 221 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed ENCE52c730.77$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.7711940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked ENCE65c648.16$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.432,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed ENCE53c577.96$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6415655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ENCE65c504.34$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.634,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed CYBERSHOKE Esports18c482.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0820440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed ENCE68c435$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.2378348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1741…6f97backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c427.88$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.191154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b1…a7b6backed ENCE52c423.08$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports50c399.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9911636.2%42 W · 74 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7d9…6e70backed CYBERSHOKE Esports52c397.58$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.552356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed CYBERSHOKE Esports51c382.52$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed CYBERSHOKE Esports46c380.43$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17536742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd2…29a2backed ENCE54c341.11$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed ENCE52c334$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16138552.2%201 W · 184 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ENCE52c330$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.45,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a5…5303backed CYBERSHOKE Esports54c308$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.843557.1%20 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked ENCE48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15650942%214 W · 295 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed CYBERSHOKE Esports43c289.9$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12641234%140 W · 272 L-11.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed CYBERSHOKE Esports37c271.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.096827.9%19 W · 49 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c259.95$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3833758.5%197 W · 140 L+22.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed CYBERSHOKE Esports41c257.73$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.467929.1%23 W · 56 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d1c…7573backed ENCE57c257.27$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports5c236.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.012,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed CYBERSHOKE Esports42c220$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4629647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde61…ebbdbacked ENCE50c217$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed CYBERSHOKE Esports46c216.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc428…b690backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c216$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7c…1714backed CYBERSHOKE Esports50c206$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6a…6fe5backed ENCE50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked ENCE49c204.9$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.412348%59 W · 64 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed ENCE52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9639646%182 W · 214 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9849849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed ENCE53c199.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9432844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82e…382ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302218.2%4 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7cf…d696backed CYBERSHOKE Esports20c199.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed CYBERSHOKE Esports18c195.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.761,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked ENCE49c189.39$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.5935550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked ENCE72c185$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8432930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports53c184.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.135455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports48c177.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851,63444.7%731 W · 903 L+4.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed ENCE51c173.33$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.932755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+69.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked ENCE52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0854348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports45c160$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.832131.8%102 W · 219 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed ENCE56c153.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.971,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked ENCE45c152.13$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6716240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b9…0a0dbacked ENCE51c149.86$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked ENCE59c138.44$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.441,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa353…d605backed ENCE51c135.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick53cpaid+50%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x623f…a4cdbacked ENCE74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick65cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked ENCE54c132$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5260147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6037448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed CYBERSHOKE Esports33c122.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1146843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3731…405fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports42c120.86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.763644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed ENCE53c117$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9942057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed CYBERSHOKE Esports54c116$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports37c110.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.4812359.3%73 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x534d…f488backed ENCE52c110.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532737%10 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6976…3185backed CYBERSHOKE Esports38c105.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.33545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd757…ab0cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports48c103.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed ENCE53c100.05$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.075662.5%35 W · 21 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked ENCE51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.625337.9%96 W · 157 L-14.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked ENCE48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4666034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b50…87fbbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked ENCE66c89.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5926046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe93f…6769backed ENCE56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.295257.7%30 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed ENCE72c82.64$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1419636.7%72 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed ENCE61c78.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.315350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb55…159abacked CYBERSHOKE Esports46c75.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354161%25 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed CYBERSHOKE Esports35c67.74$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.452,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1f94…519ebacked ENCE65c60.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.211241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed ENCE50c60.64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3256654.2%307 W · 259 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked ENCE60c60.49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3559647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed ENCE52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.692060%12 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.