Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90fc06ebf92f98791ca23d52e50aa719c0ca043e6151c0546296bb47675da876
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, AVULUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Zero Tenacity | 55c | 10,708$5,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,818.47 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 9,970$4,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.94 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed AVULUS | 48c | 7,888$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.96 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed AVULUS | 47c | 7,031$3,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.14 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…f1abbacked AVULUS | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed AVULUS | 39c | 2,497$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.79 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed AVULUS | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AVULUS | 31c | 2,006$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed AVULUS | 31c | 1,489$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.73 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed AVULUS | 45c | 1,408$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.58 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…d9d3backed AVULUS | 32c | 1,202$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed AVULUS | 27c | 1,100$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked AVULUS | 55c | 1,089$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Zero Tenacity | 64c | 818.12$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.73 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed AVULUS | 36c | 788$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.27 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…f2bebacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 717$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.33 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b4…e861backed Zero Tenacity | 70c | 715.28$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked AVULUS | 50c | 666$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed AVULUS | 50c | 625.11$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.56 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed AVULUS | 55c | 363.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed AVULUS | 30c | 355$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed AVULUS | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed AVULUS | 51c | 301.59$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed AVULUS | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4605…5299backed Zero Tenacity | 47c | 288.15$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.47 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked AVULUS | 17c | 277.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed AVULUS | 46c | 266.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 262.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed AVULUS | 46c | 247.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8a…d30fbacked Zero Tenacity | 67c | 196.91$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Zero Tenacity | 62c | 184.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Zero Tenacity | 70c | 170.88$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked AVULUS | 35c | 162$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 150.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.2 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked AVULUS | 45c | 148.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked AVULUS | 45c | 107.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked AVULUS | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.25 | 377 | 54.9%207 W · 170 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AVULUS | 49c | 97.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed AVULUS | 53c | 95.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2608…34c1backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Zero Tenacity | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AVULUS | 33c | 59.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed AVULUS | 47c | 51.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 46.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 40.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed AVULUS | 46c | 40.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Zero Tenacity | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Zero Tenacity | 49c | 31.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…205fbacked Zero Tenacity | 49c | 30.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285d…f500backed AVULUS | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…d266backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…93eabacked Zero Tenacity | 61c | 21.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…a75bbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 20.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…f611backed Zero Tenacity | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed AVULUS | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 55.2%139 W · 113 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS - Game 1 WinnerZero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.