TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs AVULUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, AVULUS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd09…a188backed Zero Tenacity58c3,299$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,375.7518452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Zero Tenacity77c2,581$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.556663.6%42 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed AVULUS42c2,074$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.8380%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed AVULUS36c1,931$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.2719148.7%93 W · 98 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked AVULUS19c1,395$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.112,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed AVULUS41c1,213$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.379345.2%42 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Zero Tenacity58c1,119$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2112061.7%74 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd2…b33cbacked AVULUS45c1,033$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.85425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked AVULUS24c853.04$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.356633.3%22 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Zero Tenacity74c847.65$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0955751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa02f…0726backed AVULUS45c834$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefe…a0d2backed AVULUS45c791$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde6e…5de3backed AVULUS45c787$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.15450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7d…99f8backed AVULUS45c764$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed AVULUS25c715.4$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.715832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf2…e56abacked Zero Tenacity55c650$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked AVULUS16c634.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.477256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked AVULUS41c562.58$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.572744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54da…fa4cbacked Zero Tenacity55c528$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked Zero Tenacity62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19015653.2%83 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed AVULUS44c499.52$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.149133.6%165 W · 326 L+1.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity68c478.91$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.872,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa546…fa04backed Zero Tenacity55c471$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Zero Tenacity76c460.53$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.534652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed AVULUS44c454$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.769946.5%46 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed AVULUS35c452.57$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.3729245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1b0…b96bbacked Zero Tenacity55c445$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Zero Tenacity63c410.69$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7820949.3%103 W · 106 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3f…3f83backed Zero Tenacity55c403$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-39.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb02f…a77ebacked Zero Tenacity54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x317f…78ccbacked AVULUS46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked AVULUS41c400$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16622845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1677…0753backed Zero Tenacity55c384$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55f9…3de2backed Zero Tenacity55c383$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked AVULUS27c382.81$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.111,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x494c…8923backed Zero Tenacity60c351.35$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.352060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d4…7e8ebacked Zero Tenacity55c346$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Zero Tenacity58c345.68$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.983253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed AVULUS43c333.77$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.5236054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Zero Tenacity76c311.75$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.828655.8%48 W · 38 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x238a…63bcbacked Zero Tenacity55c306$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2d1…8458backed Zero Tenacity55c293$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Zero Tenacity57c280$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.487645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked AVULUS43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.415250%76 W · 76 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked AVULUS44c276.16$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.691758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4605…5299backed Zero Tenacity75c270.07$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.228833%29 W · 59 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa203…63c0backed AVULUS38c266.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c76…0569backed AVULUS43c183.87$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Zero Tenacity72c179.25$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9374549.3%367 W · 378 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Zero Tenacity56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Zero Tenacity59c169.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7315131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Zero Tenacity75c166.33$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5848352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8a…d30fbacked Zero Tenacity59c164.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.652564%16 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed Zero Tenacity68c164.41$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4131659.8%189 W · 127 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7447…91ecbacked AVULUS44c147.73$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656055%33 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Zero Tenacity72c136.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6612050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked AVULUS44c127.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.241546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Zero Tenacity60c110.97$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8214453.5%77 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Zero Tenacity54c102.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.573554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Zero Tenacity80c100.05$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.053271.9%23 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d33…d13ebacked Zero Tenacity58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked AVULUS44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4466848.5%324 W · 344 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Zero Tenacity56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4497142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Zero Tenacity59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1242145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Zero Tenacity56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac7c…df06backed AVULUS42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked AVULUS42c99.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4217638.6%68 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Zero Tenacity56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2923347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb27…8be8backed AVULUS13c89.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.918248.4%88 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Zero Tenacity60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed AVULUS35c81.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.292951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked AVULUS44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3570236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed AVULUS44c72.96$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.785280.8%42 W · 10 L+8.6wins+0.17per pick64cpaid+27.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc9db…d934backed Zero Tenacity70c71.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.51070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked AVULUS41c70$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.720046%92 W · 108 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce1f…7392backed Zero Tenacity54c70$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.267853.5%363 W · 315 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Zero Tenacity55c68.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.012650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed AVULUS32c62.47$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.911,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed AVULUS35c62.23$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.656169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162d…70dcbacked AVULUS43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d8…dee4backed Zero Tenacity57c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01a…bf29backed Zero Tenacity79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.55962.7%37 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Zero Tenacity59c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5253757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Zero Tenacity61c49.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.357463.5%47 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7124…93eabacked Zero Tenacity64c46.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.662661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Zero Tenacity54c43.01$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7820838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed AVULUS47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011054.5%60 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Zero Tenacity56c42.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.521050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed AVULUS48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016437.2%61 W · 103 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Zero Tenacity52c41.67$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4f9…0a00backed Zero Tenacity56c38.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.949158.2%53 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5d…3367backed Zero Tenacity59c35.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cc8…67f7backed Zero Tenacity58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4819162.8%120 W · 71 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Zero Tenacity58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7325…0574backed Zero Tenacity58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481586.7%13 W · 2 L+5.1wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+62.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe45…f9a7backed Zero Tenacity77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+142.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5285…1457backed Zero Tenacity56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc840…9cf6backed Zero Tenacity67c28.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.443444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc10d…bf60backed Zero Tenacity55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.27887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.33per pick54cpaid+68.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed AVULUS44c27.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.