TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, TheMongolz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$434,004
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$474,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,004 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56c9…0d9ebacked TheMongolz67c71,227$47,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,590.9322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA41c34,987$14,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,802.823,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked TheMongolz70c13,077$9,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,17121655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed FURIA64c12,222$7,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9221051%107 W · 103 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed TheMongolz22c12,193$2,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,640.4616653%88 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed FURIA67c10,000$6,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30035153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed TheMongolz32c9,835$3,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.3216449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed TheMongolz68c9,201$6,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,279.694942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb9…9dd0backed FURIA75c9,070$6,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.524173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz33c8,900$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,952.2281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d99…5591backed FURIA68c8,800$5,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8161442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA31c8,597$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,915.594,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA68c8,551$5,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.8664552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz65c7,501$4,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,884.1728453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed FURIA59c5,500$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25519455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…0ec7backed TheMongolz0c5,481$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.02633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed TheMongolz51c5,180$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.5933043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5419…fcb2backed TheMongolz49c4,876$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked FURIA35c4,325$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,828.2714144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed TheMongolz44c4,060$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,792.491,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b9c…45babacked TheMongolz40c3,998$1,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,616.621346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA51c3,831$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,891.521,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked TheMongolz53c3,753$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked TheMongolz44c3,747$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.7427133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked FURIA47c3,633$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.572,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed TheMongolz44c3,435$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.8741850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed TheMongolz34c3,376$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13824944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed FURIA68c3,333$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.649256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA67c3,324$2,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked TheMongolz33c3,252$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.9312153.7%65 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed FURIA36c3,223$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.2512649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FURIA41c3,077$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,817.533,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed TheMongolz49c2,900$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42138868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed FURIA60c2,881$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.119565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked FURIA59c2,700$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10625555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA68c2,595$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.198052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed TheMongolz69c2,475$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7007755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA39c2,421$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.431,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked TheMongolz38c2,213$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.0952834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x213f…1da2backed TheMongolz51c2,188$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.0510244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked TheMongolz45c2,178$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.9247738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed TheMongolz27c2,175$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.4644648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked FURIA66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed FURIA65c1,842$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.756953.6%37 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c89…2516backed FURIA49c1,700$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+72.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca6b…9c23backed TheMongolz17c1,666$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2781118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-49.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked TheMongolz32c1,666$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.781,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA37c1,564$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.3722927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed TheMongolz27c1,508$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010339.8%41 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed TheMongolz51c1,505$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.1446345.6%211 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed TheMongolz33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49511249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked TheMongolz33c1,500$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954634.8%16 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b07…96febacked TheMongolz1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15464.3%2 W · 44 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-74.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed TheMongolz68c1,461$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011166.7%74 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz32c1,457$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.841,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed FURIA32c1,350$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.631,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed TheMongolz33c1,342$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1914532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked TheMongolz17c1,335$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22911443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked FURIA50c1,300$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6536243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed FURIA51c1,300$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.7217548%84 W · 91 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed TheMongolz79c1,269$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed TheMongolz33c1,230$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6960848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed FURIA49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61276546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aa5…46d6backed TheMongolz32c1,157$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.33847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a97…6315backed TheMongolz35c1,118$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.931118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-48.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b1…072cbacked FURIA55c1,060$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.251346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+49.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked TheMongolz33c999.97$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked TheMongolz51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014355.9%80 W · 63 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed FURIA60c955.78$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.052171.4%15 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+29.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2ca…b467backed FURIA67c895.52$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.529769.1%67 W · 30 L+8.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x499f…ccafbacked FURIA23c859.38$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.386048.3%29 W · 31 L+7.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed TheMongolz45c847.13$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.444743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed FURIA54c836.14$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.4645058.9%265 W · 185 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32fd…625fbacked TheMongolz67c827.78$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked TheMongolz33c821.21$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27118049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed FURIA66c800$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27210053%53 W · 47 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed FURIA65c800$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27822554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked TheMongolz31c797.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed TheMongolz31c797.12$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2697040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed TheMongolz10c795.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.28416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked TheMongolz41c732.6$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004346.5%20 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked TheMongolz45c725.88$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9813657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed FURIA60c698.81$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5796543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed FURIA57c689.1$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6423245.3%105 W · 127 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a2b…3377backed FURIA53c676.19$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.194165.9%27 W · 14 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked FURIA41c670$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39218336.6%67 W · 116 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked FURIA47c664.97$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.781392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.8wins+0.37per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed FURIA37c659.98$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3947641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz77c658.16$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.061,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49a1…41cbbacked TheMongolz55c654.06$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.938770.1%61 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c5…d432backed FURIA54c646.06$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.061729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed TheMongolz31c619.76$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1939832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed FURIA67c600$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19855236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked TheMongolz50c564.35$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.1824538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1698…68e8backed FURIA73c519.78$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7811470.2%80 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed FURIA20c505$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40413119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked FURIA66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17017042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed TheMongolz76c499.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.993253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FURIA34c499.99$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9944957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.