Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaaa584a7860b1823289e976e3f697d6b714245e9d14698abe7afd66ba28b9fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.91 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 23,901$14,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,780.13 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Over | 1c | 2,561$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 1c | 2,533$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 20cpaid | +356.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,896$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.65 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 74c | 1,336$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.09 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Over | 52c | 951.7$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 45c | 574.8$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 30c | 518.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.5 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…63febacked Over | 41c | 457.45$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 68c | 442.59$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…13bfbacked Over | 3c | 437.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 52c | 387.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 52c | 386.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 30c | 356.39$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa20f…fcaabacked Over | 57c | 280$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 54c | 275.01$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.64 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Under | 75c | 270$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 66c | 243.33$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 238.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 5c | 231.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 19c | 141.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 19c | 121.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 60c | 98.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 83.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 26c | 69.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…e009backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under | 34c | 58.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 45c | 38.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 79c | 28.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 78c | 25.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 76c | 25.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 42c | 24.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 64c | 22.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.