TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$534,144
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$538,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $534,144 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over60c412,686$246,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246,782.552955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under40c196,073$78,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,643.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under40c100,000$40,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,0003844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Under41c60,000$24,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,700683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+77%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Over57c31,796$18,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,118.131662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+28.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c30,512$14,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,366.672,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c25,544$14,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,222.695,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under43c20,634$8,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,750.051,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over57c20,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.972240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over57c20,000$11,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,399.961540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under43c12,084$5,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,887.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c9,200$3,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,24426749.4%132 W · 135 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under43c7,595$3,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,341.941163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over57c7,397$4,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,216.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+49.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c6,307$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,650.181,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Over40c4,956$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…461fbacked Under43c4,651$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c3,966$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.5210228.4%29 W · 73 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over61c3,895$2,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,383.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3584…e59dbacked Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7101100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under43c2,915$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,647.617455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under40c1,829$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.58922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under42c1,684$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.496846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42d…b35cbacked Over44c1,130$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Under41c1,100$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+124.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e11…45ecbacked Over59c847.38$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c788.63$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.91,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under42c752.62$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.0179435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f6…13bfbacked Over9c671.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4160%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Over38c523.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under43c427$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.7916454.3%89 W · 75 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x678e…63febacked Over54c425.93$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under40c410.04$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.0212250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Under53c379.29$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.291136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Under42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.14966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under48c349.59$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.881485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick58cpaid+46.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under43c312.47$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.192646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17110650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed16…8aadbacked Over15c288.7$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.34333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over21c262.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.561414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Under43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under43c230.73$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7312750.4%64 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1161931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over51c195.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.141921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.24per pick45cpaid-57.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f51…41edbacked Over53c187.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015850%79 W · 79 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2353…67bfbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+95%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xede1…8ad7backed Under43c156.82$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.391553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.54254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd045…6521backed Under43c146.12$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under43c135$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9512147.9%58 W · 63 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.335870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over58c131$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.877100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdba7…cb8dbacked Over46c125.61$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf587…f3e0backed Under43c124.84$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…e009backed Over18c119.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under43c115$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.559744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under43c112$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.845651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over41c109.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.593330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over29c107.46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.248446.4%39 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c106.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6411661.2%71 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Over58c103.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over61c101$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6112449.2%61 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.753650%18 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over11c95.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.37548%36 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under43c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.38747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383f…38c0backed Under48c87.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.45425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd9f…5a30backed Over58c87.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d7…0ed9backed Over59c85.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae39…c212backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over60c83.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over62c81.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506549.2%32 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.757245.8%33 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under41c73.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.177045.7%32 W · 38 L+8.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+40.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over59c71.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4227639.5%109 W · 167 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75cd…61a6backed Under43c66.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.291080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over51c66.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411441.2%47 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over38c66.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.14546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485b…4ce6backed Under77c64.3$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26246.8%29 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27456.8%42 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27352.1%38 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27153.5%38 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26653%35 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27458.1%43 W · 31 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.26149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc60f…742dbacked Under42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdb…75dbbacked Under53c59.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.82742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5a8…8a9dbacked Over58c58.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe45…f9a7backed Under43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x313c…61d9backed Under43c56.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.26850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under42c50.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.511145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+77.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56152.5%32 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.58951.7%46 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.