TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Providence Friars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked St. John's Red Storm77c40,000$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,199.9912364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Providence Friars23c16,805$3,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,865.111,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Providence Friars23c7,016$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.041,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Providence Friars23c5,900$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35789850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Providence Friars23c5,211$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.681,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Providence Friars3c5,107$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.931,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Providence Friars22c4,029$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.5312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed St. John's Red Storm78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88022645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77d1…2c9dbacked Providence Friars23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b7b…89a6backed St. John's Red Storm77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Providence Friars16c1,969$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.852,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Providence Friars22c1,814$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.352,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Providence Friars24c1,714$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Providence Friars25c1,665$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.15,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Providence Friars23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008359%49 W · 34 L+11.5wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xee76…e67abacked St. John's Red Storm78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0511362.8%71 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Providence Friars19c1,254$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.744,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Providence Friars23c1,239$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.992321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Providence Friars16c1,224$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.063,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked St. John's Red Storm73c1,210$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.579771.1%69 W · 28 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed St. John's Red Storm75c1,082$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.7168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Providence Friars31c1,012$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.631,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x403f…2b6bbacked Providence Friars27c812$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.241844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Providence Friars24c762$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Providence Friars35c580.86$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.915731.6%18 W · 39 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-44%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Providence Friars23c558.34$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.423627.8%10 W · 26 L-6.6wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Providence Friars8c522.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.925,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked St. John's Red Storm77c522$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0637142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Providence Friars14c519.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.142,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Providence Friars23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Providence Friars24c499.83$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9640849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked St. John's Red Storm76c493.25$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3875447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Providence Friars7c458$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed St. John's Red Storm78c380.46$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.715551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbe…aa3bbacked St. John's Red Storm75c350$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed St. John's Red Storm73c342.49$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.4923941.4%99 W · 140 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked St. John's Red Storm78c339.66$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.664763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Providence Friars30c333.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Providence Friars6c266$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.961,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed St. John's Red Storm77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.841554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Providence Friars22c252.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5999045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Providence Friars23c244$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1226254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Providence Friars15c231.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Providence Friars22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed St. John's Red Storm74c226.87$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.976550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Providence Friars21c207.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3793941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x330d…f0c4backed Providence Friars14c205$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.731637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Providence Friars25c200.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Providence Friars23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Providence Friars24c197.49$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1137947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Providence Friars24c195.62$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9542339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed St. John's Red Storm77c194.81$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.811573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick75cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f6…d81abacked Providence Friars38c189.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.352128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed St. John's Red Storm79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Providence Friars11c182.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.371,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Providence Friars22c168.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.861,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Providence Friars22c130.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7750548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed St. John's Red Storm79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.589769.1%67 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0b…44fdbacked Providence Friars8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103231.3%10 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed St. John's Red Storm76c118.75$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.943,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da9…93b3backed Providence Friars27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Providence Friars23c110.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Providence Friars25c101.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2531647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Providence Friars22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked St. John's Red Storm78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2229444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked St. John's Red Storm73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked Providence Friars23c90$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710652.8%56 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Providence Friars14c82.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.625239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed St. John's Red Storm73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.252259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc5…d36ebacked St. John's Red Storm71c69.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0110043%43 W · 57 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Providence Friars20c65.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Providence Friars23c65.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153928.2%11 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed St. John's Red Storm78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.14877.1%37 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed St. John's Red Storm78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.112245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked St. John's Red Storm78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.355263.5%33 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed St. John's Red Storm77c58.21$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2111654.3%63 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Providence Friars21c54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3339742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Providence Friars22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1189146.2%412 W · 479 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed St. John's Red Storm77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed St. John's Red Storm68c45.14$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.542,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Providence Friars33c44.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5522730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed St. John's Red Storm78c41.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.12161.9%13 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f7f…8c81backed Providence Friars25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed St. John's Red Storm80c39.34$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aea…4793backed St. John's Red Storm78c33.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.332857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Providence Friars34c32.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115240.1%61 W · 91 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3778…8604backed St. John's Red Storm78c32.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.055550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.6wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ff1…e65cbacked St. John's Red Storm76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d7…927dbacked St. John's Red Storm78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3173…7be4backed St. John's Red Storm70c27.7$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.31977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84a4…21c4backed St. John's Red Storm77c27.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b48…c530backed St. John's Red Storm77c25.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.981163.6%7 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked St. John's Red Storm71c25.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3515733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ec…f645backed St. John's Red Storm77c21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.83650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed St. John's Red Storm76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.912748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed St. John's Red Storm80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.041,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked St. John's Red Storm77c19.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.414171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked St. John's Red Storm73c18.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.062231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed St. John's Red Storm77c15.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5920051.5%103 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aff…821abacked St. John's Red Storm77c15.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.