Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friars: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d46005f65f9733b0c186c33c0963a71aea0396ffebc9e43d84ff3f9bdfe3858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 50c | 53,458$26,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,692.23 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 16,943$8,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,501.88 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9931…ea8cbacked Over | 49c | 8,960$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 7,721$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 4,173$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.09 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.99 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Over | 49c | 3,743$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 49c | 3,142$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.55 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Over | 49c | 1,478$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.22 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 49c | 956.02$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.45 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 948$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 49c | 531$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.19 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 323$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcc…b167backed Under | 50c | 208.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d2…0451backed Over | 51c | 208.7$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…8191backed Under | 50c | 207.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8539…2d34backed Over | 51c | 207.9$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 125.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 49c | 124$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 112.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 51c | 104.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed Over | 50c | 62.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 52c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…0a4fbacked Over | 49c | 26.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 50c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 51c | 21.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d8…7bbcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friars: O/U 167.5this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence FriarsSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friars: O/U 168.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.