Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb24dba20c4f9d49eefc2eae5f7d4593a991c9aa4d6b3ee0ecd88837ff7e19700
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. John's Red Stormof St. John's Red Storm, Providence Friars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Providence Friars | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Providence Friars | 51c | 2,040$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.4 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 1,797$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Providence Friars | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 925.97$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.24 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 191.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 157.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. John's Red Storm | 53c | 105.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Providence Friars | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Providence Friars | 44c | 89.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Providence Friars | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Providence Friars | 51c | 47.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed St. John's Red Storm | 51c | 47.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked St. John's Red Storm | 49c | 36.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Providence Friars | 50c | 34.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. John's Red Storm | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. John's Red Storm | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…6894backed St. John's Red Storm | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…9e90backed Providence Friars | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)this page
- Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-8.5)St. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence FriarsSt. John's Red Storm won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friars: O/U 167.5Under won
- St. John's Red Storm vs. Providence Friars: O/U 168.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.